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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Western Michigan Broncos Free Pick 9/21/13

Western Michigan Broncos (0-3) at Iowa Hawkeyes (2-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 21, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)

The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -17 See the Latest Odds


The Western Michigan Broncos have their work cut out for them on Saturday, when the Broncos head to Iowa City to face the Hawkeyes.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are currently sitting at 2-1 on the year after defeating the Iowa State Cyclones 27-21 in the Battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy the week before.  The Hawkeyes, don’t exactly have the most explosive of offenses this season, averaging just 27.3 points per game, but the Hawkeyes have a solid defense and ground game and if Iowa can avoid turnovers and mistakes the Hawkeyes could be looking at a low level bowl come January.  Iowa outgained the Cyclones on the day 378-319.  Sophomore quarterback Jack Rudock played mistake free ball for Iowa, completing 14/23 for 160 yards and two scores.  The ground game was solid for the Hawkeyes, behind the strong running of Mark Weisman, who now has 425 yards on the year.  Weisman is the workhorse of this offense, and that was no different this past weekend as the Iowa back carried the ball 35t times for 145 yards.  Damon Bullock also had a nice day for Iowa on the ground, gaining 50 yards on 13 attempts.  Defensively the Hawkeyes are solid, allowing just over 21 points per game.  This Hawkeye team isn’t going to blow anyone away, but if the Hawkeyes can win the turnover battle, and control the line of scrimmage, more wins should follow for Ferentz’s team. 

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Western Michigan Broncos Free Pick 9/21/13

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

The Western Michigan Broncos have gotten off to a brutal start this season as the Broncos are still looking for their first win of the year.  Western Michigan’s latest defeated came at the hands of Northwestern, who defeated the Broncos 38-17.  Western Michigan has had a rough schedule to start, having to face the Michigan State Spartans and the Wildcats, with Nicholls State sandwiched in between.  The Broncos have the 109th ranked offense in the nation, scoring 17.7 points per game on the year, and the Broncos have the 80th ranked scoring defense, giving up an average of 30.3 points per game.  Western Michigan was able to move the ball on the Wildcats defense, putting up 345 yards of offense on the day.  Defensively however, the Broncos had no answer for Northwestern’s spread attack, giving up 471 yards to the ‘Cats.

I have to give the nod here to the Broncos.  Western Michigan isn’t a very good team don’t get me wrong.  The biggest reason I’m taking the points here with the Broncos is Iowa’s offense.  The Hawkeyes are not the type of offense that will put up tons of points on you, and even if the Broncos are held to single digit points on the day, I still don’t see the Hawkeyes scoring enough to cover what looks to be an inflated number, as my line is Iowa -13.  Also, the fact that the Hawkeyes are in a sandwich spot here between two rivals (Iowa State and Minnesota) bodes well for the Broncos as well.

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