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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. San Jose State Spartans Free Pick 9/21/13

San Jose State Spartans (1-1) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 21, 2013 at 12:00 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers -4.5 --- Over/Under: 51.5 See the Latest Odds


The San Jose State Spartans head to Minnesota on Saturday to face off against the Golden Gophers.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are off to a perfect 3-0 record on the year.  There was some scare in this game as Gopher head coach Jerry Kill had a seizure at halftime.  Thankfully he is reported as being ok.  The Gophers’ latest victory came at the hands of FCS Western Illinois.  The Gophers defeated the Leathernecks 29-12.  Minnesota outgained Western Illinois 337-230 on the day, with 213 of those yards coming on the ground.  Under center for the Golden Gophers were both Leidner and Nelson, who combined for 124 yards and no picks.  The ground game for the Gophers was solid, with Minnesota’s leading rusher on the day being David Cobb, who rushed for 82 yards and two scores on 13 attempts.  Western Illinois was able to hang with the Gophers for the first half, only trailing Minnesota 6-7 at the break.  The Leathernecks came out first in the second half, taking a 12-7 lead, but it would be all Minnesota after that, taking control and cruising to victory.

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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. San Jose State Spartans Free Pick 9/21/13

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The San Jose State Spartans are 1-1 so far on the year.  The Spartans had this last weekend off to prepare, and heal up after a 34-13 loss at the hands of the Stanford Cardinal the week before.  The Spartans play solid defense, ranking 27th in the nation with an average of 17 points allowed per game.  Offensively…that’s another story.  The Spartans are ranked 106th in the nation in points scored, averaging 18.5 per game, and the Spartans are ranked 113th in rushing offense, and 73rd in passing offense.  The Spartans were able to hang with the Cardinal for awhile, trailing 17-6 at the break.  At the half however the Cardinal came out strong and took control of things.  San Jose State managed just 251 yards of offense on the day, to 404 yards for the Cardinal.  David Fales was under center for the Spartans, and Fales finished the day with 216 yards and one score and one pick, resulting in a QBR of 46.5.

The Spartans are a solid 21-6 against the spread the past three seasons, and on the road, the Spartans are even better, going 12-2 against the number.  Also, in non-conference games, the Spartans are 13-1 against the spread in their last 14.  The gophers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against MWC opponents.  In non-conference games in general, the Gophers are 8-4 against the spread in their last 12.

I'm going to have to take the Spartans here.  I think the Gophers and Spartans are two evenly matched teams, and I don't feel the home field advantage the Gophers have is enough to justify this line as there looks to be some solid value with the road dog here.


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