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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Free Pick 9/26/13

Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0)

NCAAF Football: Thursday, September 26, 2013 at 7:30 pm (Bobby Dodd Stadium)

The Line: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -7 -- Over/Under: 42 See the Latest Odds


The Virginia Tech Hokies head down to Georgia Tech to take on the Yellow Jackets on Thursday night.

Virginia Tech improved to 3-1 on the season after beating Marshall, 29-21, in triple overtime on Saturday. The Hokies lost to Alabama in their season opener and then beat Western Carolina and East Carolina before the win on Saturday over the Thundering Herd. The Hokies gained 382 total yards on offense, but turned the ball over twice thanks to QB Logan Thomas, who continues to disappoint the Hokies faithful. Thomas finished 18 of 34 for 181 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Thomas has been working to improve his foot work and throwing motion, but it hasn’t shown on the field yet this season. The bright spot on offense is RB Edmunds who finished with 110 yards on 22 carries for the Hokies. The Virginia Tech defense had trouble slowing down the Thundering Herd, giving up 361 total yards. Marshall was able to gain 228 yards through the air and 133 on the ground, but turned the ball over twice in the loss. Virginia Tech was able to show some good old fashion “Beamer ball” in the win on Saturday, as the Hokies blocked Marshall’s first punt attempt and ran it back for a touchdown. Looking forward, I believe Thomas is holding the Virginia Tech offense back and until he leaves Blacksburg I have no faith in the Hokies offense. The defense on the other hand is solid, but they will have their hands full this week at Georgia Tech.

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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Free Pick 9/26/13

Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

The Yellow Jackets improved to 3-0 on the year after beating North Carolina 28-20 at home on Saturday. Georgia Tech had two blow out wins over Elon and Duke to start the season before playing a great second half to take care of the Tar Heels last week. The Yellow Jackets were down six points at halftime, but the Georgia Tech defense shutout the North Carolina offense in the second half, outscoring the Tar Heels 14-0. North Carolina only had 101 yards rushing and 319 total yards in what was a rain drenched game that became extremely sloppy in the second half. Georgia Tech on the other hand was able to run the ball in the wet conditions, finishing with 324 rushing yards and 428 total yards on the day. QB Lee finished 7 of 12 for 104 yards passing with 1 touchdown. RB Godhigh carried the ball 9 times for 100 yards, while RB Sims had 17 carries for 99 yards and two touchdowns in the win. The Yellow Jackets dominated time of possession, while both teams turned the ball over just once in the extreme conditions. Georgia Tech lost three starters from its defense to injuries during the game. LB Nealy, S Melton, and S Golden all left the field during the game and did not return. All three players are questionable for this week’s game.

The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Virginia Tech has won the last three meetings between these two schools, including a 20-17 win at home last year to start off the season. I think both of these teams have great defenses, with Georgia Tech’s being much improved from a year ago. Even with some injuries the Yellow Jackets should have no problem slowing down the Virginia Tech offense if they can stop the run, which I believe they can. If they make the Hokies one dimensional, Logan Thomas will not be able to make enough plays to keep Virginia Tech in this game. Meanwhile, the Yellow Jackets rushing attack will open up some downfield opportunities for Vad Lee against a vulnerable Hokies secondary. I believe the Yellow Jackets roll at home and win by two touchdowns.

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