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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Free Pick 9/28/13

Florida Gators (2-1) at Kentucky Wildcats (1-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Commonwealth Stadium)

The Line: Kentucky Wildcats +13.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds


The Kentucky Wildcats and the Florida Gators face off on Saturday in Lexington in a SEC college football battle.

The Kentucky Wildcats are looking to build their football program under first year Head Coach Mark Stoops but they are off to a 1-2 start. UK has had a week off to prepare for Florida who is the second ranked team the Cats play in as many games. At QB Maxwell Smith and Jalen Whitlow have both seen extensive action with Smith completing 57.1 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and Whitlow completing 63.6 percent of his passes with a touchdown and an interception and also rushing for 160 yards and two scores. Jojo Kemp is averaging 9.3 yards per carry Raymond Sanders is the primary option at running back for Kentucky averaging 5.9 yards per carry with a touchdown. Javess Blue has 15 catches with a touchdown, Ryan Timmons has nine catches, and Jeff Badet and Alex Montgomery each have six catches with a touchdown. Defensively Kentucky is allowing 23 points per game and 367 yards with three fumble recoveries and eight sacks. Avery Williamson has 35 tackles, TraVaughn Paschal has 19 tackles, and Alvin Dupree has 18 tackles. While Kentucky can’t do much but improve, this could be a long season for the Wildcats.

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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Free Pick 9/28/13

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Florida Gators bounced back from their loss to Miami by beating rival Tennessee in the Swamp last Saturday and now they head back to the road. While Florida beat Tennessee by 14 points they lost QB Jeff Driskel for the season and Tyler Murphy takes over and he has already completed 57.1 percent of his passes with a touchdown and he ran for 84 yards and another score. Mack Brown is averaging 3.8 yards per carry rushing the football with three touchdowns and Matt Jones is averaging 3.2 yards with one touchdown in this run first offense. Trey Buton leads the UF receivers with 14 catches, Quinton Dunbar has 13 catches, and Solomon Patton has 10 catches with two touchdowns. The Florida defense is a tough unit allowing 14.7 points per game, has six interceptions, four sacks, and two fumble recoveries. Antonio Morrison has 13 tackles and Michael Taylor and Jaylen Watkins have 12 tackles each. Florida’s defense is going to keep them in a lot of games this year and create good field position for what has been a mediocre offense thus far.

Kentucky is 3-10 against the spread in their last 13 games overall, 1-7 against the spread in their last eight SEC games, and 2-5 against the spread after scoring less than 20 points their previous game. Florida is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games, 1-5 against the spread following a win, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games. Florida has covered the point spread in the last six meetings of these two.

Kentucky is limited on offense and that is really bad news against this Florida defense which is one of the best in the nation. Look for the Gators to dominate on defense and to wear down Kentucky on offense and win going away. 

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