South Florida Bulls vs. Miami Hurricanes Free Pick 9/28/13
Miami Hurricanes (3-0) at South Florida Bulls (0-3)
NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
The Line: South Florida Bulls +20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The South Florida Bulls look to avoid a disastrous 0-4 start as they play host to the 15th ranked, 3-0 Miami Hurricanes Saturday at noon on ESPNU.
Miami takes the short trip north to Tampa after absolutely destroying Savannah State 77-7 Saturday night. The Hurricanes did not break much of a sweat in this one, as they struck early and often, building a 21-0 lead by the 6 minute mark of the first quarter. The storyline to keep an eye on this week will be the health of quarterback Stephen Morris moving forward. Morris only threw 4 passes in this contest before rolling his ankle and leaving the contest -- X-rays were negative but his status remains in question for next weekend. Not to be outshined by their explosive offense, the Hurricane defense now ranks 7th in the nation in points per game allowed with 9.7. They held Savannah State to a pedestrian 183 total yards in this one as well. South Florida will have their hands full with a unit that is littered with talented athletes and playmakers.
USF’s start to the season has been an absolute disaster as the Bulls have been destroyed by McNeese State at home, beaten soundly by Michigan State on the road and most recently, upended by visiting Florida Atlantic 28-10. Against FAU, the Bulls only managed 297 yards for the entire game and turned the ball over 3 times -- twice for scores. The lone bright spot continues to be the play of tailback Marcus Shaw, who failed to score in this contest, but rushed for a game high 159 yards on the ground. The Bulls 10 points scored is 2 below their season average of 12.2, which ranks 121st in college football.
Some trends to consider -- Miami is 6-0 against the spread following an ATS win and South Florida is 7-3 against the spread against the ACC.
This one has all the makings of a lopsided affair. The Canes should be able to transition smoothly on offense if Morris is unable to go against a young, struggling USF defensive unit. Duke Johnson should be in for a ton of targets and a big afternoon and the Cane defense will likely be licking their chops at facing a USF passing offense that ranks 120th in the nation in yards. Miami rolls to the cover and a 4-0 start in this one.