Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi Rebels Free Pick 10/5/13
Mississippi Rebels (3-1) at Auburn Tigers (3-1)
NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Jordan-Hare Stadium)
The Line: Auburn Tigers +2.5 -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
The Auburn Tigers and the Ole Miss Rebels face-off on Saturday in a SEC college football battle between one-loss teams.
The Auburn Tigers had the week off after taking their first loss of the year in Baton Rouge against an LSU team that was simply better. Auburn is clearly moving in the right direction, it is just a matter of when they will be able to compete with the top tier teams. The Auburn offense is averaging 28.5 points and 439.5 yards per game. QB Nick Marshall is completing 58.3 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and four interceptions and rushing for 148 yards. Tre Mason is averaging 5.2 yards per carry with four touchdowns, Corey Grant is averaging 9.2 yards per carry with 2 touchdowns, and Cameron Artis-Payne is averaging 4.9 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Sammie Coates and Ricardo Louis lead Auburn in receiving with 11 receptions each and Marcus Davis has 10 catches. The Auburn defense is allowing 22.8 points and 439.5 yards per game with four interceptions, two fumble recoveries, and six sacks. Robenson Therezie has 25 tackles, Cassanova McKinzy has 21 tackles, and Jermaine Whitehead has 20 tackles. Auburn has some work to do but a bow game isn’t out of the question.
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The Ole Miss Rebels looked to be ready to take the next step, but on Saturday they were shutout and shut down by Alabama, taking their first loss of the year. The Ole Miss offense had their share of chances to score, but they never were able to put the ball in the endzone, despite going for it on 4th down several times. For the season, the Rebels are averaging 28.5 points and 418.8 yards per game. QB Bo Wallace has completed 61.9 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and he has rushed for 125 yards and three touchdowns. Jeff Scott is averaging 8.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns, Barry Brunetti is averaging 5.6 yards per carry with three touchdowns, and Jaylen Walton is averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Laquon Treadwell has 20 catches as Mississippi’s leading receiver, Donte Moncrief has 17 catches and two touchdowns, and Evan Engram has 13 catches and two touchdowns. The Ole Miss defense is allowing 24 points and 358 yards with four interceptions, five sacks, and two fumble recoveries. Serderius Bryant has 35 tackles, Cody Prewitt has 22 tackles, and Tony Conner has 21 tackles. Ole Miss will need to bounce right back from last week’s disappointment and they need to do it on the road.
Auburn is 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record, 1-4 against the spread in the last five SEC games, and 0-9 against the spread following a game in which they covered the point spread. Ole Miss is 5-1 against the spread following a loss, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 SEC games. The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.
This game looks like a virtual coin flip so getting points with the home team doesn’t seem like such a bad place to be, especially considering Auburn has had the week off and they were able to at least score 21 points on LSU.