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Boston College Eagles vs. Army Black Knights Free Pick 10/5/13

Army Black Knights (2-3) at Boston College Eagles (2-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Alumni Stadium)

The Line: Boston College Eagles -11.5 -- Over/Under: 50 See the Latest Odds


The Army Black Knights travel to Boston College to play the Eagles on Saturday afternoon.

Army improved to 2-3 on the year after knocking off Louisiana Tech 35-16 on Saturday. The Black Knights beat Morgan State to open the season before losing three straight to Ball State, Stanford, and Wake Forest. In the win over Louisiana Tech, Army produced an outstanding 430 yards of total offense, with only 16 yards coming thru the air. Army loves to run the ball and they did so affectively in the win. RB Baggett carried the ball 18 times for 143 yards with 2 touchdowns, while RB Turrentine added 12 carries for 81 yards in the win. The Black Knights defense allowed 377 total yards to Louisiana Tech, but did force two turnovers. Army’s defense is most vulnerable in the secondary where they allowed 320 yards thru the air. This could cause some problems for Army in their next match-up this weekend against Boston College.

Boston College Eagles vs. Army Black Knights Free Pick 10/5/13

Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston College Eagles fell to 2-2 on the year after losing to Florida State 48-34 on Saturday. The Eagles played the Seminoles tough, keeping the game within reach all the way down until the final minutes of play. The Eagles offense produced 397 total yards with a balanced attack. QB Rettig completed 19 of 29 passes for 197 yards with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. WR Willis caught 5 balls for 69 yards, while WR Amidon caught 7 balls for 42 yards in the loss. RB Williams rushed for an impressive 149 yards on 28 carries against a tough Florida State defense. The Boston College defense allowed 489 total yards, with 159 yards coming on the ground. The Eagles despite the loss managed to control the clock and force one turnover in the game. Looking ahead to this week’s match-up, Boston College needs to find a way to stop the run against Army or they will be in for a long day at home.

Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The under is 5-1 in Boston College’s last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Boston College has won four out of the last five meetings between these two teams, but Army won last year’s game by 3 points at home. If Army can establish the run early and play good defense they should be able to keep this game close. Boston College is coming off a tough and physical game against Florida State and will have to regain their focus for Army. I think the Eagles will have some trouble stopping the run and Army will defend enough to keep themselves in this game going into the final minutes of play. I’ll take the points with Army in this one.

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