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Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick 10/5/13

Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0) at Kansas Jayhawks (2-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Kansas Jayhawks +14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox Sports 1

Storyline: Freshman Red Raider QBs Baker Mayfield and Davis Webb combined for 434 yards and 2 touchdowns through the air against Texas State Saturday, but were less than perfect and needed more than just a pass-happy offense to pull out the 33-7 victory. Kansas, meanwhile, was idle this week, but snapped a 22-game losing streak against the FBS dating back to 2011 with a 13-10 win over Louisiana Tech in week 4.

The Breakdown: Baker Mayfield started the game against the Bobcats and went 14-of-20 for 124 yards and an interception before being pulled in the second quarter in favor of Davis Webb, who didn’t fare any better in the accuracy department, finishing 19-of-43 for 310 yards and 2 interceptions, but threw for 4 TDs. Tech racked up 552 total yards, but didn’t get churning on offense in the first half and four field goals and a fumble return for a touchdown provided the only scoring of the first two frames for the Red Raiders. Webb stepped it up in the second half with touchdown strikes of 4 and 10 yards. Jr. TE Jace Amaro caught 9 passes for 86 yards and Jr. WR Bradley Marquez finished with 6 catches for 84 yards and a touchdown. On the ground, Tech was customarily ineffective, totaling just 72 yards on 14 carries between Soph. RB DeAndre Washington and Fresh RB Quinton White. On the defensive side, the Red Raiders stifled, holding the Bobcats to 240 total yards, 5-of-16 third down conversions and forcing three turnovers.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick 10/5/13

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas upped its record to 2-1 in week 4, besting their entire win total from a year ago with the win over LA Tech. Walk-on kicker Matt Wyman hit the game-winning field goal from 52 yards out as time expired. Jr. QB Jake Heaps connected on 28-of-46 for 279 yards and two touchdowns with one interception. Sr. RB James Sims carried 20 times for 78 yards, while Jr. RB Tony Pierson added 27 yards on 5 carries and caught 9 balls for 82 yards. On the defensive side, the Jayhawks conceded 443 total yards, 289 passing and 154 rushing, but forced three turnovers and held La Tech to 8-of-17 third down conversions.

Betting Trends: Texas Tech is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games, 5-0 SU in its last 5 games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games against Kansas, 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against Kansas, 5-0 SU in its last 5 road games against Kansas, and the total has gone over in 5 of Texas Tech’s last 5 road games. Kansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games, 3-22 SU in its last 25 games, 3-10 SU in its last 13 home games, 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against Texas Tech, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games versus Texas Tech, 0-5 SU in its last 5 home games against Texas Tech, and the total has gone under in 5 of Kansas’ last 7 home games.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at +14 for Kansas, but even when the Red Raiders struggle with the passing game, as they did against Texas State, they can still put enough points to pull comfortably away from lesser teams. The Jayhawks rank 101st in passing yards at 186.3 per game and 105th in points for at 19.3 per contest, while the Red Raiders own the country’s third-ranked passing attack at 408.5 yards per game, rank 32nd in points for at 38.8 ppg and 10th in points against at 13.3 ppg. Tech covers.

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