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Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars Free Pick - 10/5/13

South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) at Troy Trojans (2-3)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Troy Trojans -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Sun Belt Conference

The South Alabama Jaguars visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to tangle with the Troy Trojans.

South Alabama might have been an unknown after opening the year with a loss to Southern Utah, but a win over Western Kentucky and close loss to Tennessee says this team isn't all that bad. I know many have differing opinions on what the Volunteers have in 2013, but it's a good showing when the Jaguars hang with an SEC squad. On paper, the Vols were the clear winner with a 482-392 edge in yardage with USA going to the air more then they wanted with Ross Methany going 21-42 for 234 and a pair of interceptions. Methany also led the rushing attack with 67 yards and two scores, but Tennessee prevailed on the strength of 278 rushing yards.

Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars Free Pick - 10/5/13

Mark Dolejs-USA TODAY Sports

Troy hasn't been the monster of the Sun Belt for the past several years and one has only to look at their past three games to see why. In three consecutive defeats, the Trojans have been out scored 141-72. For the mathematician in me, that means their defense is simply awful. A 38-31 defeat at Duke did nothing to disprove that statement, with both teams amassing over 500 yards of offense with Corey Robinson and the receiving corps doing their best to keep up on the scoreboard. Robinson has been the strength of this offense and was once again with 354 yards, two touchdowns and an interception with Bryan Holmes and Eric Thomas combining for 159 yards on 16 catches.

I think most people will be on Troy with their scoring ability, but this won't be easy if their defense can't get stops. For now, I'm on Troy, but I reserve the right to change...

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