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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers Free Pick 10/5/13

Missouri Tigers (4-0) at Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 7:30 pm (Vanderbilt Stadium)

The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores -2.5 -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC, ESPN3, GamePlan

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Missouri Tigers face off on Saturday in Nashville in an SEC college football match up.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are off to a 3-2 start to the season, but they are still looking for their first SEC win of the year. Vandy’s offense is averaging 34.8 points and 416.4 points per game thus far. QB Austyn-Carta Samuels has completed 64.7 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and five interceptions, while rushing for another four touchdowns. Jerron Seymour is averaging 6.1 yards per carry with six touchdowns, Wesley Tate is averaging 4.4 yards per carry with three touchdowns, and Brian Kimbrow is averaging 4.6 yards per carry with a touchdown. Jordan Mathews leads Vanderbilt Receivers with 40 catches and four touchdowns and Jonathan Krause has 19 catches and a touchdown. The Vandy defense is allowing 21.6 points and 363.4 yards per game with three interceptions, 11 sacks, and four fumble recoveries. Kenny Ladler has 35 tackles, Javon Mashall has 33 tackles, and Darreon Herring has 30 tackles. Venderbilt is still looking to get a win over a quality opponent.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers Free Pick 10/5/13

Don McPeak-USA TODAY Sports

The Missouri Tigers are off to a 4-0 start to the season, but they seem to have picked up very few believers on the way. Mizzou will have plenty of chances to prove where they belong in the college football landscape and winning on the road in the SEC is always a good place to start. Missouri’s offense is averaging 45.5 points and 549 yards per game. QB James Franklin has completed 67.9 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and three interceptions, while rushing for 215 yards and two touchdowns. Russell Hansbrough is averaging 8.6 yards per carry with three touchdowns, Henry Josey is averaging 5.9 yards per carry with four touchdowns, and Marcus Murphy is averaging 7.2 yards per carry with four touchdowns. Dorial Beckham-Green leads Missouri with 21 catches and four tocuhdowns, Marcus Lucas has 21 catches, and L’Damien Washington has 19 catches and three touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 21 points and 398.5 yards per game with 10 interceptions and eight sacks. E.J. Gaines and Andrew Wilson have 26 tackles each and Braylon Webb has 22 tackles. Missouri is hoping to show the world that they are for real as a win here will put them one game away from being bowl eligible.

Vanderbilt is 4-1 against the spread in their last five SEC games, 13-5 against the spread in their last 18 home games, and 8-0 against the spread following a win. Missouri is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 3-1-1 against the spread following a win, and 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four games.

Vanderbilt is favored by two here, but I don’t see them getting the win as I like the way Missouri is playing and they may be flying under the radar, but they have a ton of experience. 

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