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Connecticut Huskies vs. South Florida Bulls Free Pick 10/12/13

South Florida Bulls (1-4) at Connecticut Huskies (0-4)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 12, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Rentschler Field)

The Line: Connecticut Huskies -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The South Florida Bulls visit the winless Connecticut Huskies for AAC play this Saturday at noon.

South Florida rolls into this one after a surprisingly lopsided victory over Cincinnati this past Saturday.  The Bulls built a 26-6 lead on the Bearcats mistakes and never looked back on their way to the 26-20 victory.  South Florida had failed to show any signs of life through four games but strong special teams play early in this one lit the spark that got the Bulls moving for the first time all year.  Nate Godwin returned a punt 72 yards and Lattimore scooped up a fumble in the second quarter and took it to the house for a 20-6 halftime lead.  With Marcus Shaw limited to just 27 yards on the day, Michael Pierce picked up the slack and rushed for 61 yards.  The Bulls did not need any offensive touchdowns in this game.  Instead, quarterback Bobby Eveld did a good job of moving the chains between the 20 yard lines and Marvin Kloss converted 4/4 field goals to put the win on ice.  A surprise opportunity for a two game win streak is now quite possible for confident Bulls this weekend.

Connecticut Huskies vs. South Florida Bulls Free Pick 10/12/13

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

A season that appeared to be trending in the right direction after two close losses to solid teams became a disaster two weekends ago as UConn fell on the road at lowly Buffalo by a score of 41-12.  With a bye week under their belts and new head coach roaming the sidelines, the Huskies return to their home field as they try to reverse their struggles.  Against Buffalo, the Huskies managed only 220 yards of total offense and turned the ball over 4 times.  Lyle McCombs finally found the end zone, but finished the day with just 33 yards against a tiny Buffalo defense.  Chandler Whitmer threw for 182 yards and two picks and was benched in favor of freshman Casey Cochran late in the game.  The Huskies now rank 123rd in rushing yards per game with 48 and 111th in scoring at just 18 points per game.  

Some trends to consider -- South Florida is 6-19-1 against the spread in their last 26 games overall and UConn is 2-5-1 against the spread in their last 8 games at home.

The Bulls struggled to get things going on offense in their recent victory, but were very strong on D and showed the ability to make plays.  The Huskies have been down right lethargic the last five quarters they played and while a new regime may yield results in time, I think a winless season is becoming a possible situation.  Look for South Florida’s strong defense and a bounce back game by Marcus Shaw to get the cover and the narrow victory on the road.

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