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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs Free Pick 10/19/13

TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 19, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Boone Pickens Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -7 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds


Storyline: The Cowboys were idle last week and needed a late surge in week 6 to get past a game Kansas State side in a 33-29 thriller that presented OK State with its stiffest test to this point. Meanwhile, TCU overcame a sloppy and uninspired effort Saturday for a 27-17 win over a floundering Kansas team still looking for its first conference win.

The Breakdown: It took Soph. QB J.W. Walsh and the Cowboys the better part of three quarters to realize they were headed for their second straight loss, but when OK State finally emerged from its second-half slumber, Walsh led a six-play, 75-yard scoring drive to take a one-point lead with just over 4 minutes left. A Ben Grogan field goal at the 2:24 mark provided the Cowboys with just enough cushion to seal the victory. Ok State struggled mightily in the third quarter, unable to reach plus territory or record a single first down in the frame. Walsh finished 24-of-38 for 245 yards and a score, but the real issues for the Cowboys came on the ground, where they could muster just 85 yards on 22 attempts. Freshman WR Jhajuan Seales led all receivers with 4 receptions for 87 yards and Sr. WR Tracy Moore caught 6 balls for 52 yards. Freshman K Ben Grogan got plenty of opportunity to shine as the Cowboys stalled on drives in plus territory four times. Grogan connected on field goals from 30, 34, 23 and 28 yards out. Defensively, Ok State surrendered enough to almost let the game slip away, particularly to Soph. K-State QB Daniel Sams, who almost single-handedly ended the Cowboys Big 12 title hopes. Sams hit on 15-of-21 for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns and rushed for 118 yards and a touchdown, actually putting the Wildcats ahead with 6:09 left to play, but Sams' three interceptions, one to end the game, proved to be K-State’s undoing.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs Free Pick 10/19/13

Richard Rowe-USA TODAY Sports

The Horned Frogs continued their offensive slide against Kansas Saturday, losing three fumbles and throwing two interceptions, but still coming away with the victory. TCU piled up 380 yards of total offense, 173 passing and 207 rushing. Soph. QB Trevone Boykin passed for 173 yards and a score with two picks, and rushed for 71 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries. Soph. RB B.J. Catalon carried 12 times for 91 yards and a touchdown. Jr. WR David Porter led all receivers with 4 catches for 118 yards and a score. The TCU defense did stifle, holding standout Kansas RB Charles Sims to 81 yards on 23 carries, but a Jayhawk offense that managed a staggering 198 total yards could take partial credit.  

Betting Trends: Ok State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games, 5-2 SU in its last 7 games, 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games, 5-0 SU in its last 5 home games, the total has gone under in 4 of Ok State’s last 5 games, and the total has gone over 4 of Ok State’s last 6 home games. TCU is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games, 4-11 SU in its last 15 games, 20-5 SU in its last 25 road games, 2-4 SU in its last 6 road games, the total has gone under in 5 of TCU’s last 6 games, and the total has gone under in 5 of TCU’s last 6 road games.

Rick’s Pick: The spread in this one is currently at -7 for Ok State with a total of 54 points. Anything can happen in a conference game, particularly in an elite conference. Increasingly, though, TCU is not playing like an elite team. They proved that against a Kansas team that might be better suited for the Sun Belt conference. All things considered, season-ending injuries to Devonte Fields and Casey Pachall, coupled with an up and down Trevone Boykin at QB, the Frogs are outmanned here. Ok State covers. 

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