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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick 10/19/13

Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-0) at West Virginia Mountaineers (3-3)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 19, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)

The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers 7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline: Freshman QB Davis Webb got the start Saturday against Iowa State in place of an injured Baker Mayfield and he made good, throwing for 415 yards and three touchdowns in a 42-35 shootout win that kept the Red Raiders unblemished and propelled them to the number 16 spot in the rankings. West Virginia, meanwhile, was idle this week, but got throttled 73-42 by Baylor the last time they suited up.

The Breakdown: The dust finally settled after Texas Tech recovered an Iowa State onsides kick attempt with less than two minutes left to play and the Red Raiders had amassed 666 total yards, while at long last finding the running game that had eluded them all season. Soph. RB DeAndre Washington carried 13 times for 88 yards and a score, and Sr. RB Sadale Foster rushed for 87 yards and a touchdown on 9 attempts.  Sr. RB Kenny Williams added 80 yards rushing and a score on 17 carries.  Webb, who may have reignited a quarterback controversy with his stellar play, finished 35-of-56 for 415 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception. Jr. TE Jace Amaro led all receivers with 9 catches for 143 yards, while Soph. WR Jakeem Grant caught 5 balls for 90 yards and a score. On the defensive side, Tech surrendered 311 total yards, 168 passing and 143 rushing, and held the Cyclones to 5-of-18 third down conversions.

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders  Free Pick 10/19/13

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

The Mountaineers are a bit of a mystery, having knocked off an Oklahoma State side that was a favorite for the Big 12 title, but also getting shutout by Maryland, laying an egg against Oklahoma and getting dismantled by Baylor. Making matters worse is an uncertain QB situation that’s seen every signal caller on the depth chart get a start. Junior Florida State transfer Clint Trickett made his second consecutive start under center against Baylor after upending heavily-favored Oklahoma State the previous week, but never got going and connected on just 9-of-28 for 161 yards, 1 TD and 1 pick. Sr. RB Charles Sims carried 19 times for 92 yards and a score, while Jr. WR Kevin White caught 7 passes for 130 yards and 2 TDs. Defensively, the Mountaineers were barely there and conceded a whopping 872 total yards, 396 passing and 476 rushing, while allowing Baylor to convert  11-of-15 third downs. WVU did force 4 Baylor turnovers, scoring on a fumble return and a pick six, but did little to stop the Bears beyond those two plays.

Betting Trends:  Texas Tech is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games, 6-1 SU in its last 7 games, the total has gone under in 5 of Tech’s last 7 games and the total has gone over in 5 of Tech’s last 5 games on the road. West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games, 7-18 SU in its last 25 games, 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 home games, 4-1 SU in its last 5 home games, the total has gone under in 7 of WVU’s last 8 games and the total has gone under in 4 of WVU’s last 5 home games.

Rick’ s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at -7 for Texas Tech and after the Mountaineers surrendered two or three games worth of total yards against Baylor (coupled with the pitiful display against Maryland), you have to believe the Oklahoma State effort was a fluke. And Texas Tech seems to have an offense that rolls indiscriminately, whether it’s Mayfield or Webb under center. Tech covers the modest spread.

Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick

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