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Kansas State Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4) at Kansas State Wildcats (2-4)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 3:45 pm (Snyder Family Stadium)

The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -10.5 -- Over/Under: 53 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline: Jr. QB Clint Trickett had been marginal at best in his first three starts, throwing as many interceptions as touchdown passes, but played well enough in West Virginia’s 37-27 loss to Texas Tech Saturday to cement his position as the starter this week. Meanwhile, Kansas State was idle last week, but also played well in a losing effort its last time out, a 35-25 squeaker against Texas Tech that was much closer than the final score.

The Breakdown: With Fresh. Ford Childress out due to injury and Jr. Paul Millard relegated to the backup role, Trickett, who finished 27-of-43 for 254 yards for 1 TD and no picks against Texas Tech, is the only viable QB option. That didn’t stop head coach Dana Holgorson from instantly naming his starter for Saturday’s game against Kansas State rather than wait till the end of the week as he had several times this season. Trickett looked more confident against the Red Raiders, leading three scoring drives and, more importantly, not turning the ball over. The Mountaineers totaled 437 yards of offense and got solid support from the ground game, with Jr. Dreamius Smith carrying 16 times for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns and Sr. Charles Sims rushing for 77 yards on 15 attempts. The WR duo of Fr. Daikiel Shorts and Jr. Kevin White had a strong outing with 9 receptions for 78 yards and 5 catches for 77 yards respectively. Defensively, West Virginia surrendered 573 yards of total offense to Texas Tech, 462 passing and 111 yards rushing, while forcing two turnovers and allowing Tech to convert 9-of-15 third downs.

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Kansas State Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas State ended up on the losing side of things against Baylor, but became the first team this season to slow the Bears’ highly-caffeinated offense, keeping them at just over half of their average scoring total of 64.7 points per game and way under their average total yards per game of 714. K-State even led the game heading into the fourth quarter behind Soph. QB Daniel Sams 199-yard, three touchdown performance. Baylor, however, pulled ahead 28-25 at the start of the fourth on a 54-yard TD pass from Bryce Petty to Tevin Reese and never relinquished the lead, closing the door on the Wildcats with 1:16 left on a 21-yard Glasco Martin TD run. K-State was stellar on the ground and also got a strong outing from Sr. RB John Hubert, who carried 15 times for 90 yards. Defensively, the Wildcats surrendered 446 total yards of offense, 332 passing and 114 rushing, but held standout Baylor RB Lache Seastrunk to 59 yards on 12 carries.

Betting Trends: West Virginia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games, 2-5 ATS in its last 7 road games, and 1-6 SU in its last 7 road games. Kansas State is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games, 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games, and 11-2 SU in its last 13 home games.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at -10.5 for K-State with a point total of 53. While Daniel Sams has emerged as K-State’s weapon of choice, they haven’t been winning any games, dropping their last three and putting this spread in question. West Virginia’s also hard to figure out. They get shutout by Maryland, take out then #11 Ok State, get throttled by Baylor and then play Texas Tech tight. This one could go either way, depending on who decides to show up on defense. That said, the over looks like the better play here.

 Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick

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