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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-0) at Oklahoma Sooners (6-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 3:30 pm (The Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


Storyline: Making his second start for an injured Baker Mayfield, QB Davis Webb broke the Texas Tech single game mark for a freshman with his 462-yard outing Saturday in the Red Raiders’ 37-27 win over West Virginia. Oklahoma, meanwhile, took a quarter and a half to get churning against Kansas, but scored 25 unanswered points when they finally did, building a lead they would never surrender for an ultimate 34-19 victory.

The Breakdown: Webb has now thrown for over 400 yards in each of his first two starts, becoming the first Texas Tech freshman to do so. Webb threw for 415 yards in week 7 against Iowa State. Against the Mountaineers, Webb finished 36-of-50 for 462 yards and 2 touchdowns and the Red Raiders racked up 573 total yards, with the running game totaling 111 yards. Jr. TE Jace Amaro and Jr. WR Bradley Marquez each had big days with 9 receptions for 136 yards and 2 touchdowns and 8 receptions for 112 yards respectively. Jr. RB Kenny Williams led the Tech ground game with 16 carries for 58 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Red Raiders conceded 437 total yards to West Virginia, 254 passing and 183 rushing, while forcing one turnover and keeping the Mountaineers to 7-of-17 third down conversions.

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

The Sooners struggled a bit against Kansas and were down 13-0 when they finally got on the board midway through the second quarter with a 16-yard TD strike from Jr. QB Blake Bell to Sr. WR Jazz Reynolds. Oklahoma followed with a 19-point scoring spree before the Jayhawks finally broke the drought on a James Sims TD run at the 10:15 mark of the fourth quarter. The Sooners then extended the lead to 27-19 on a blocked punt resulting in a safety and put the game away with a 6-yard TD run by Sr. RB Damien Williams at the 4:19 mark. Oklahoma piled up 415 total yards of offense, 180 passing and 235 rushing. Bell connected on 15-of-25 for 131 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception and added another 53 yards rushing on 10 carries.  Soph. Sterling Shepard led all receivers with 7 catches for 82 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Sooners were once again stout, holding Kansas to 201 total yards, 185 yards rushing and an unheard of 16 yards passing, while also keeping the Jayhawks to 2-of-11 third down conversions.

Betting Trends:  Texas Tech is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games, 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games versus Oklahoma, 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games against Oklahoma, and 1-7 SU in its last 8 road games against Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games, 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games, 6-1 SU in its last 7 home games, 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games versus Texas Tech, 4-2 ATS in its last 6 home games against Texas Tech, and 7-1 SU in its last 8 home games against Texas Tech.

Rick’s Pick: OU is currently a 7 point home favorite in this one, which doesn’t inspire confidence. The Sooners do own the nation’s 9th-ranked defense in points allowed at 17.1 per contest, but that was far from evident against Texas, who happen to be the only above average offense OU has faced to this point. And we all know what happened there. Texas Tech possesses the second most explosive passing offense in the nation at 414 yards a game with either of their freshman QB’s at the helm. Tech and the points are the play here.

Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick

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