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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Longhorns Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Texas Longhorns (4-2) at TCU Horned Frogs (3-4)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 7:30 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)

The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -3 -- Over/Under: 51.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline:  Texas was idle Saturday but shocked Oklahoma 36-20 in the Red River Rivalry the last time they suited up, snapping a three-game losing streak to the Sooners and giving Mack Brown perhaps the most breathing room he’s had since the upset at BYU. TCU, meanwhile, continued its offensive struggles in a 24-10 loss to Oklahoma State Saturday.

The Breakdown: A Longhorns offense that had really only broken free one other time this season picked the right stage for its second act, piling up 445 yards of total offense. Soph. RB Johnathan Gray rushed for 123 yards on 29 carries and Jr. RB Malcolm Brown added 120 yards on 23 carries to lead a ground game that racked up 255 total yards, while Sr. QB Case McCoy connected on 13-of-21 for 190 yards and two touchdowns. Texas and OU traded field goals to open the scoring in the first frame before Sr. DT Chris Whaley, a converted running back, broke the game open with a 31-yard interception return for a touchdown. The Horns stretched their advantage to 17-3 halfway through the second quarter and never relinquished the lead. The win marked Brown’s 154th in his 16 seasons with Texas, the second most in school history. Defensively, the Longhorns rose to the occasion with their best effort of the season, holding the Sooners to 263 total yards, 133 passing and 130 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and keeping the Sooners to just 2-of-13 third down conversions.

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Longhorns Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

For the second straight week, Soph. QB Trevone Boykin posted more interceptions than touchdowns, finishing 17-of-35 for 188 yards, no touchdowns and 3 picks against Ok State. The Horned Frogs fell behind by 17 points midway through the second quarter and an ineffective Boykin was yanked in favor of redshirt freshman Tyler Matthews, who fumbled on his first play under center and misfired on his first and only pass attempt. Boykin came back in for the second half, but never got going. The Frogs amassed 325 total yards, but got little support from a running game that totaled 126 with Boykin and Soph. RB B.J. Catalon combining for 92 yards on 27 carries. On the defensive side, TCU conceded 415 total yards, 320 passing and 95 rushing, while forcing 4 turnovers.

Betting Trends: Texas is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games, 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games, 17-8 SU in its last 25 road games, and the total has gone over in 7 of Texas’s last 9 road games. TCU is 4-12-1 SU in its last 17 games, 1-7 ATS in its last 8 home games and 19-6 SU in its last 25 home games.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at -3 for TCU with a total of 51.5 points. The Longhorns rank 47th nationally in points for at 33 per game and 65th in points against at 27 a game  and the Horned Frogs come in with the better defense, surrendering an average of 21.7 points a game for 31st in the nation, but also possess a pretty sorry offense that ranks 100th in the country in passing and 85th in points for. Look for the Horns to grind out a tight one late with a ground game that’s posted over 200 yards in its last three outings.

Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick

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