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Memphis Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/30/13

Cincinnati Bearcats (5-2) at Memphis Tigers (1-5)

NCAAF Football: Wednesday, October 30, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers 3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The 5-2 Cincinnati Bearcats travel just south for a conference battle with the struggling Memphis Tigers Wednesday night at 8PM on ESPN2.

Cincinnati comes into this one fresh off a bye and a dominant performance against the lowly UConn Huskies 41-16 two weekends ago.  The Bearcats were led by the stellar play of quarterback Brandon Kay who had his best game of the season by far tossing for 300 yards, 4 touchdowns and no interceptions on an accurate 17 of 24 attempts.  Fullback Jordan Luellen led all rushers on Cinnci with 51 carries and also found a role in the passing game throwing for 64 yards and a touchdown.  Eight Bearcat receivers caught passes on the afternoon and Chris Moore hauled in a game high 2 TD's to go along with 64 yards.  The outburst was a welcome surprise for the Bearcats who had struggled in recent weeks leading up to this strong offensive showing.  With their momentum strong and a week under their belts to prepare for Memphis, the Bearcats look to be rounding into form at just the right time in the season.

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Memphis Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/30/13

Rob Leifheit-USA TODAY Sports

Memphis has played admirably early this season but theirility to close games and secure wins is starting to take its toll as the Tigers sit at 1-5 and 0-3 in the AAC.    The Tigers are also coming off a bye, but found themselves on the losing side of their previous contest, falling to SMU 34-29.  While the final score was close and Memphis made a strong push with 19 fourth quarter points, the usually stout Memphis secondary was absolutely torched in this contest.  SMU racked up 460 total yards and built a 31-3 lead at the break before dropping back into zone coverage and holding on for the win.  Paxton Lynch finished with 198 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception in this contest and Hayes added 65 yards and a touchdown on the ground.  With the half way point of the season in the books, aside from facing 20th ranked Louisville, the schedule becomes quite manageable for the Tigers as they search for conference win number one.

Some trends to consider -- Cincinnati is 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games against teams with the losing record and Memphis is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games at home.

Memphis was in every game this season and despite getting close at the end against SMU, the Tigers had no answer for the Mustangs aerial attack.  Cincinnati should have had plenty of time to game plan appropriately on the bye week and with Brandon Kay coming off his best start as a Bearcat, I like Cincinnati to air it out early and then wear the Tigers down on the ground in the second half as they become bowl eligible with the cover on the road.

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