Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/2/13
Miami Hurricanes (7-0) at Florida State Seminoles (7-0)
NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 2, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Doak Campbell Stadium)
The Line: Florida State Seminoles -21.5 -- Over/Under: 62 See the Latest Odds
The No. 3 Florida State Seminoles host the No. 7 Miami Hurricanes in a battle of unbeaten teams on Saturday.
The Miami Hurricanes improved to 7-0 on the year and 3-0 in ACC play after barely beating Wake Forest at home 24-21 on Saturday. Wake Forest led for most of the game and it took some late game heroics for the Miami to come away with the win. It was the third straight game where Miami overcame a double-digit deficit and the second straight game where the Hurricanes got the go-ahead score in the final seconds after RB Dallas Crawford’s late touchdown run gave them a win at North Carolina last week. The Hurricanes produced only 391 yards against the Demon Deacons defense. QB Stephen Morris completed 17 of 28 passes for 191 yards and a touchdown. The star of the game was RB Duke Johnson, who rushed for 168 on 30 carries with 2 touchdowns. Morris has thrown for 1,462 yards and 10 touchdowns this year. Johnson has rushed for 823 yards and 6 touchdowns; while WR Allen Hurns has a team high 28 catches for 506 yards and 2 scores. Miami ranks 20th in points scored, averaging over 39 points per game so far this year. Miami allowed 361 total yards to Wake Forest and forced one turnover in the game. The Hurricanes rank 11th in the country in points allowed, giving up only 17.7 points per game on average this season. The win against Wake Forest has set up a showdown at Florida State this week and matched the program’s best start since 2003.
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The Florida State Seminoles improved to 7-0 on the year and 5-0 in ACC play after a 49-17 win at home over NC State on Saturday. The Seminoles produced 566 yards of total offense and scored 35 points in the first quarter on the way to their blowout victory. QB Jameis Winston completed 16 of 26 passes for 292 yards with one interception and three touchdowns and left the game after the opening series of the second half. WR Rashad Greene topped 100 yards receiving for the third consecutive game with 8 receptions for 137 yards and a touchdown for the Seminoles. RB Devonta Freeman rushed 12 times for 92 yards and 2 touchdowns. Winston has thrown for a whopping 2,177 yards and 23 touchdowns so far this season. Freeman has rushed for 561 yards and 6 scores, while Greene leads the team in receiving with 39 catches for 690 yards and 8 touchdowns. Florida State ranks 3rd in the country in points scored, averaging 52.6 points per game this year. The Seminoles rank 11th in passing yards, 341.5 per game, and 25th in rushing yards, with 212 per contest. Florida State allowed only 316 yards against NC State and that’s with most of the starters on defense not participating in most of the second half. The Seminoles did a great job getting off the field on third down and forced three turnovers. Florida State ranks 4th in the country in points allowed, giving up only 13 points per game on average this season. Florida State snapped a four-game losing streak as a ranked team versus an unranked NC State team and look forward to hosting Miami this weekend.
Miami is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Florida State. The underdog is 11-0 ATs in their last 11 meetings and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 5-0 in Florida State’s last 5 conference games.
Florida State has won the last three meetings between these two schools, including a 33-20 win at Miami last season. The last four meetings at Florida State have been decided by 4, 4, 8, and 3 points with Miami winning two of those games. Miami has struggled in their last two games, while Florida State continues to blow teams out at home and on the road. However, this is one of the biggest rivalries in college football and the previous games don’t weigh as much when these two teams meet each year. The line is set over three touchdowns, and while I think Florida State wins this game by double-digits, I believe this line is inflated due to Miami’s recent subpar performances and the outstanding play of Florida State. Miami can hold their own up front against Florida State and has some playmakers on offense to help produce some points. I’ll take the Hurricanes with the points in this one.