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Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Pick, Odds, Prediction 11/9/13

Vanderbilt Commodores (4-4) at Florida Gators (4-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)

The Line: Florida Gators -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC, ESPN3, GamePlan

The Florida Gators and the Vanderbilt Commodores face off on Saturday in the Swamp in a SEC college football matchup.

The Florida Gators have now lost three games in a row and they sit at .500 for the season. The Florida offense battled back last Saturday against Georgia but they still came up short but for the season they are averaging 21 points and 334.6 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Gators QB Tyler Murphy has completed 59 percent of his passes for 911 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions and he has rushed for 105 yards and three touchdowns. Mack Brown has rushed for 400 yards and four touchdowns as the Florida rushing attack just hasn’t been potent with Matt Jones out though Kelvin Taylor is seeing action. Solomon Patton has caught 31 passes for four touchdowns, Trey Burton has caught 31 passes, and Quinton Dunbar has 26 catches. The UF defense has been their saviors allowing 17.1 points and 290.8 yards per game with nine interceptions, 13 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Antonio Morrison has 46 tackles, Michael Taylor has 45 tackles, and Jaylen Watkins has 40 tackles. This has been a tough year for Florida after so many years of top-level success.

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Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Pick, Odds, Prediction 11/9/13

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

It has been a long time since the Vanderbilt Commodores beat the Florida Gators but they are hopeful that this could be the year. Vandy enters this game at 4-4 and the offense is averaging 32.1 points and 402 yards per game but they have turned the ball over 14 times. Patton Robinette has taken over at QB for Austyn Carta-Samuels but Carta-Samuels is listed as questionable and he could be back for this one. Jerron Seymour has rushed for 479 yards and nine touchdowns and Wesley Tate has rushed for four touchdowns. Jordan Matthews has easily been Vanderbilt’s best receiver with 66 catches for 890 yards and five touchdowns and Jonathan Krause is questionable after leaving last game with a knee injury. Defensively Vanderbilt is allowing 30.2 points and 389.9 yards per game with five interceptions, 10 fumble recoveries, and 15 sacks. Kenny Ladler has 68 tackles, Darreon Hering has 57 tackles, and Javon Marshall has 52 tackles. Vanderbilt is coming off of a blowout loss to Texas A&M which was far and away their worst effort in recent years.

Florida is 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight home games, and 2-8 against the spread following a loss. Vanderbilt is 8-2 against the spread following a game in which they didn’t cover the spread, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 7-18-1 against the spread in their last 26 games following a game where they allowed over 280 yards passing. The road team has covered the point spread in the last five meetings of these two.

The defenses should be the winners here and I look for a low scoring game that stays under the total. I will have a pick on the winning side in the Premium Area and available on the Sports Chat Place App

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