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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Iowa Hawkeyes (5-4) at Purdue Boilermakers (1-7)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)

The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +14 See the Latest Odds


The Iowa Hawkeyes hope to become bowl eligible this weekend as the Hawkeyes head to Purdue to face the Purdue Boilermakers.

The Purdue Boilermakers are sitting at 1-7 this season, and not only are the Boilermakers bringing up the rear in the Big Ten, but Purdue is one of the bottom feeders of the entire FBS at this point.  The Boilermakers got blown out this past weekend by Ohio State, falling 56-0 at home to the Buckeyes.  I’m not going to go into the stats on this one, let’s just say that Purdue…not so good and Ohio State…really good.  Something staggering about this Purdue team, when you look at how they rank nationally, is the fact that the Boilermakers are ranked in the triple digits in nearly every major statistical category.  Purdue is ranked 100th in passing offense, 121st in rushing offense, 124th in points scored, and finally, 114th in points allowed.  This Purdue team is yet to get a win against an FBS opponent, and going against a solid Iowa team that is looking to become bowl eligible on Saturday will be tough sledding as well.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Byron Hetzler-USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa Hawkeyes are sitting at 5-4 on the season.  The Hawkeyes have one of the better defenses in the Big Ten, but offensively this team is just horrible.  When Greg Davis came to Iowa from Texas, there was a lot of talk about spreading teams out and how this offense would open things up.  Well, we are seeing a few more spread concepts from the Hawkeyes, including some no-huddle, but still this offense has a long ways to go before they are really feared by anyone.  The Hawkeyes currently rank 90th in the nation in passing yards per game, averaging just 205.4, but that being the case, first year starter Rudock has looked solid, especially in his decision making.  The ground game is always the staple of an Iowa offense, and this season is no different.  The Hawks like to run first, run second and more than likely third…and sometimes fourth.  The Iowa ground game is decent, but still with all this emphasis on it, the Hawks are only ranked 55th in the nation in rushing yardage per game.  The reason the Hawkeyes have a winning record this season is their defense.  Iowa’s defense is one of the better ones in the Big Ten, and nationally as Iowa is ranked 17th in the nation in points allowed, giving up just 19.2 on average.

The Hawkeyes are just 5-12 against the spread in their last 17 road games, and the Hawks are 3-7-1 against the spread in their last 11 games against the Boilermakers.  Iowa is also just 2-4 ATS when playing Purdue on the road.  The Boilermakers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. 

I have to take the Hawkeyes in this spot.  I really don’t like giving up more than two touchdowns with this offense, but playing against the Boilermakers I don’t see much of an option.  The Iowa defense will be ready to play on Saturday, and it will be tough for Purdue to do much against this unit. 

The cover may not come until late for Iowa, but backing the Hawks looks like the only way to go here.

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