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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Kansas State Wildcats (4-4) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


Storyline: 25th-ranked Texas Tech plummeted to the bottom of the rankings this week after dropping its second straight to Oklahoma State 52-34 Saturday in a game the Red Raiders were never really in. Kansas State, meanwhile, throttled Iowa State 41-7 Saturday behind a balanced attack that saw the Wildcats return to a steady diet of rotating quarterbacks.

The Breakdown: In what seemed like a complete role reversal, Tech was hit by a scoring barrage early against Ok State and were down 21-0 by the time they finally got on the board on a 32-yard Ryan Bustin field goal with a minute and a half left in the first quarter. Tech cut the lead to 28-24 by the half, but they would get no closer and the expected scoreboard assault did take shape, only it was Ok State doing all the scoring with the majority of their offense coming on the ground. Tech conceded 492 total yards to the Cowboys, 211 passing and 281 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and keeping Ok State to 5-of-16 third down conversions. On the offensive side, the Red Raiders were as pass-happy as ever and played customarily well through the air as Davis Webb connected on 45-of-71 for 425 yards for 2 touchdowns and two interceptions, Jr. TE Jace Amaro had another brilliant outing with 15 catches for 174 yards and a score, and Sr. WR Eric Ward added 8 receptions for 86 yards and a touchdown.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

QB’s Jr. Jake Waters and Soph. Daniel Sams combined for 221 yards passing and a touchdown and 89 yards rushing with three touchdowns, Sr. RB John Hubert rushed 15 times for 105 yards and a score and the receiving duo of Jr. Tyler Lockett and Sr. Tramaine Thompson combined for 8 receptions for 143  yards and a score in a near shutout of Iowa State that could be credited largely to the Wildcat defense. The Cyclones reached the K-State red zone just once the entire game after Sr. RB Robert Rose fumbled on his own ten late in the fourth quarter and Iowa State recovered. The Cyclones scored on the very next play at the 3:24 mark to end the shutout. K-State surrendered just 245 total yards, 126 passing and 123 rushing, while forcing three turnovers and allowing Iowa State to convert just 3-of-20 third down attempts.

Betting Trends: Texas Tech is 2-4 ATS spread in its last 6 games, 8-2 SU in its last 10 games, the total has gone over in Tech’s last 5 games, Tech is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games, 6-2 ATS in its last 8 against K- State, and the total has gone over in 5 of Tech’s last 5 games against K-State. K-State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games, 18-7 SU in its last 25 games, the total has gone under in 5 of K-State’s last 6 games, K-State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 road games, 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games versus Texas Tech, the total has gone under in 8 of K-State’s last 10 games on the road and the total has gone over in 5 of K-State’s last 5 games against Texas Tech.

Rick’s Pick: Texas Tech opened up a 2.5 home favorite in this one, a line that should inspire some confidence. K-State did slow the nation’s best offense and played stout defense against Iowa State last week, but if you saw the Wildcats against Baylor, the Bears were often times within inches of erupting. Texas Tech looked the same in its two losses, but they won’t drop three straight. Look for Tech to connect on some of those missed opportunities the last two weeks and get the cover.

Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick


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