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South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/16/13

Memphis Tigers (2-6) at South Florida Bulls (2-6)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 16, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: South Florida Bulls +2.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds


The Memphis Tigers look for conference win number one with a road trip to face the South Florida Bulls Saturday at 7PM from Raymond James Stadium.

The Tigers got win number two for the year as they went out of conference to make easy work on in state rival UT Martin last Saturday 21-6.  After a lethargic first quarter, the Tigers turned up the offense and clamped down on defense, outscoring their visiting opponent 21-0.  Memphis overcame 123 yards in penalties with stout defense, holding UT Martin to just 286 yards of offense and holding them out of the end zone.  Paxton Lynch threw for 189 yards and a TD and Brandon Hayes led all rushers with 105 yards on the ground.  The Tigers tasted victory for the first time in quite a few weeks but still find themselves winless in conference play.

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South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/16/13

Thomas Campbell-USA TODAY Sports

South Florida currently sits at 2-6 on the year and are losers of two straight games.  The Bulls have had plenty time to prepare for this contest, having not played since halloween.  In that contest, South Florida fell to Houston on the road as their D struggled to stop quick scoring drives.  The Bulls fell 35-23 despite having the ball for 16 more minutes and gaining about the same amount of yards.  Receiver Andre Davis racked up a game high 134 yards on 9 catches and receiver Mike McFarland added 40 yards and 2 TD’s.  Lack of discipline once again reared its head for USF as the Bulls were flagged for an absurd 170 yards in penalties.  

Some trends to consider -- Memphis is 9-0 against the spread in their last 9 games versus a team with a losing record and South Florida is 8-20-1 against the spread in their last 29 games overall.

Both the Bulls and Tigers have played pretty well in recent weeks, especially on the defensive side of the ball.  I look for this one to be a defensive slugfest and whichever team that can establish the run should have the advantage.  I will go with the home team here and Marcus Shaw to get the better of Brandon Hayes in the head to head tailback battle as the Bulls squeak by with the cover at home.

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