Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Pick, Odds, Prediction 11/30/13 The Iron Bowl
Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) at Auburn Tigers (10-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2013 at 3:30 pm (Jordan-Hare Stadium)
The Line: Auburn Tigers +10.5 -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
The Auburn Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday as the close out their 2013 college football regular seasons in the Iron Bowl.
The Auburn Tigers have been one of the better comeback stories this season as they returned from a few down years and from not making a bowl game last season to a top 10 ranking. The Tigers have just one loss this season, a road loss to LSU, and a win here would make this season extra special. QB Nick Marshall has completed 58.4 percent of his passes for none touchdowns and five interceptions but more importantly he has rushed for 823 yards and nine touchdowns. Tre Mason has rushed for 1,153 yards and 17 touchdowns and Cameron Artis-Payne has found the endzone five times. Sammie Coates leads the Auburn receivers with 30 receptions and five touchdowns and Ricardo Louis has 23 catches. Chris Davis is Auburn’s leading tackler with 55 tackles, Cassanova McKinzy has 53 tackles, and Dee Ford has eight sacks. It is important to not that Auburn has 12 interceptions this season after having just two all of last season. The Auburn offense is averaging 39 points and 499.9 yards per game while defensively they are allowing 22 points and 406.9 yards per game. A win here puts Auburn in the SEC Championship Game and more than likely will make Gus Malzahn the leading candidate for Coach of the Year.
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The Alabama Crimson Tide are the back-to-back defending National Champions but if they can win out this year this will be the only of the three who have gone undefeated. Alabama hasn’t been in a close game since their second game of the year getting a seven-point win over Texas A&M. QB A.J. McCarron continues to lead the Tide avoiding mistakes as he has completed 68.6 percent of his passes for 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. T.J. Yeldon as rushed for 1,022 yards and 12 touchdowns and Kenyan Drake has rushed for 661 yards and eight touchdowns. Christion Jones has 35 receptions and two touchdowns and Kevin Norwood has 33 catches and six touchdowns. C.J. Mosley is Alabama’s leading tackler with 88 tackles, Landon Collins has 51 tackles, and Trey Depriest has 47 tackles. The Alabama offense is averaging 39.7 points and 444.7 yards per game while defensively they are allowing just 9.3 points and 263.9 yards per game. In order to beat Alabama it is likely going to take winning the turnover battle and that would just be the start.
Auburn is 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games, and 5-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Alabama is 5-1 against the spread in their last six SEC games, 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games, and 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 road games. The favorite has covered the point spread in six of the last eight meetings of these two.
Well the stakes in the Iron Bowl haven’t been this big in a few years but it is only fitting that it is as these are the two teams who have wont he last four National Championships. This is a rivalry game but aside from that, Auburn’s scheme should match up well against the Bama defense, at least as good as any can and I expect the Tide to have trouble stopping Auburn at least in the first half, then it is just matter of if the Tigers can hold on. Either way, this is way too many points for this one as either Auburn wins a thriller or Bama wins in the six point range.
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