Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
With the loss to Iowa State, the Jayhawks have all but assured themselves a last place Big 12 finish, or at least a tie with Iowa State for the dubious honor. If Kansas can somehow top K-State and Iowa State loses to West Virginia, they’ll finish with two conference wins to Iowa State’s one. If the Jayhawks lose to K-State and Iowa State beats West Virginia, Kansas will be in sole possession of last place. If the Jayhawks and Cyclones both lose, we’re right back where we started and both will finish in a tie for dead last. Any questions? Once again, though, there’s not much good to say about a Kansas team that got shutout by one of the worst defenses in the FBS, ranking 107th nationally. Freshman QB Montel Cozart started the game and went just 4-of-12 for 20 yards and one pick before being yanked in favor of junior Todd Heaps, who wasn’t much better and finished 7-of-19 for 72 yards. Senior RB James Sims was, per usual, the lone bright spot, carrying 21 times for 114 yards. Defensively, the Jayhawks surrendered 502 total yards and a career outing to freshman QB Grant Rohach, who connected on 15-of-20 for 300 yards and 2 TDs.
Betting Trends: Kansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Kansas, 1-4 SU in its last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Kansas, 6-3 ATS in its last 9 road games against Kansas, the total has gone over in 4 of K-State's last 5 games against Kansas and the total has gone over in 5 of K-State's last 5 road games versus Kansas. Kansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games, 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against K-State, 3-6 ATS in its last 9 home games against K-State, the total has gone over in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games against K-State and the total has gone over in 5 of Kansas's last 5 home games versus K-State.
Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is set at -16 for Kansas State and it’s hard to imagine them not covering here. The Jayhawks were someone else in the win against West Virginia and actually produced some offense. But as satisfying as it was to see Kansas resemble a real team, it was little more than a reminder that flukey things can happen in the Big 12. K-State covers.
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