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Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns Alamo Bowl Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/30/13

Texas Longhorns (8-4) at Oregon Ducks (10-2)

College Football: Monday, December 30, 2013 at 6:45 pm (Alamodome)

The Line: Oregon Ducks -14 -- Over/Under: 69 See the Latest Odds


The Texas Longhorns and the Oregon Ducks play in the Alamo Bowl on Monday.

Texas finished 8-4 overall and 7-2 in the Big 12 during the regular season. The Longhorns were written off early after losses to BYU and Mississippi, but rebounded in conference play and found themselves in the Big 12 title game against Baylor in the season finale. The offense is built around the running game with RB Malcolm Brown, 774 yards and 9 touchdowns, leading the way since RB Johnathan Gray's season-ending injury. Texas struggles when playing from behind because of QB Case McCoy's inconsistency. The defense has scuffled against strong rushing teams, allowing 200 or more yards four times, including a whopping 550 yards against BYU, so it might have its hands full against Oregon's read option. Texas coach Mack Brown's swan song with the Longhorns comes against Oregon on Saturday. Texas announced that Brown will step down after 16 seasons, during which he has compiled a 158-47 record, making him the second-winningest coach in the program's history. Brown led the Longhorns to two Big 12 titles and the 2005 national championship, but Texas struggled to a 30-20 record over the past four seasons, including 19-17 in the Big 12.

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Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns Alamo Bowl Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/30/13

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon finished 10-2 overall and 7-2 in the Pac-12 conference this season. Oregon went from national championship contender to having its streak of four straight BCS bowls snapped thanks to November losses at Stanford and Arizona, but the Ducks say they won't lack motivation despite the lower-tier postseason invitation. Even with former coach Chip Kelly gone to the NFL, the Ducks continue to put up prolific offensive numbers, ranking second in the nation in total yards, 573.1, and third in scoring, 46.8. QB Marcus Mariota's Heisman Trophy candidacy fizzled when the threw four interceptions and fumbled five times in the last four games of the regular season, but expects to be fully recovered from a lingering knee injury for the bowl game. The Ducks will be without TE Pharaoh Brown, 10 catches, 123 yards, and two touchdowns, who was suspended for his role in a snowball fight on campus that escalated and resulted in innocent bystanders being pelted with snowballs. Brown is a minor player in the passing game as eight Ducks have more receptions with Josh Huff 57 catches, 1,036 yards, 11 TDs leading the way.

Oregon’s up-tempo spread offense is similar to the system employed by Baylor, which rolled up 508 total yards in a 30-10 win over the Longhorns in the regular-season finale. Texas will need DE Jackson Jeffcoat, the Big 12 Co-Defensive Player of the Year, to be a constant fixture in the backfield to disrupt Oregon's timing and give the Longhorns a chance to keep pace on the scoreboard. I don’t think Texas will have the ability to keep up in this one and Oregon will win by 20 or more points.

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