2014 College Football: Big 12 Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses
Predicting Who Wins The Big 12
2014 College Football Preview
The Line: See the Latest Odds
Here we will breakdown the odds of winning the Big 12 in the 2014 college football season and throw out a few predictions. The Oklahoma Sooners enter the year as overwhelming favorites to win the Big 12, but there are a few other teams that you have a chance to make some money on if things go sour.
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Here are some teams you should consider when handicapping this prop:
Baylor Bears - Baylor is the second biggest favorite to win the Big 12 at odds of +250. Baylor has a potential Heisman winning quarterback in Bryce Petty, who threw for more than 4,000 yards last season and was a touchdown machine. Petty and Baylor’s offense will continue to put up a truckload of points, which gives the Bears a chance to beat anybody on their schedule. Defensively, Baylor has a talented defensive line and started to show promise towards the end of the year last season. Baylor also gets TCU and Oklahoma State at home. I think the past few seasons have shown us not to sleep on Baylor.
Oklahoma State Cowboys – Oklahoma State had quarterback issues and still averaged 39.1 points per game last season. So, while those quarterback concerns still linger heading into this season, you shouldn’t be that worried about it. The Cowboys still have their running back in Desmond Roland and a loaded wide receiver corps led by Jhajuan Seales and Brandon Sheperd. Oklahoma State can still score with the best of them. Defensively is where Oklahoma State has its concerns after losing just about everybody on that side of the ball. The schedule also doesn’t help, as the Cowboys open the season against Florida State and finish with Baylor and Oklahoma on the road. However, Oklahoma State has a veteran coach who knows how to win and is getting odds of +1200. I’ll bite.
Texas Longhorns – Charlie Strong has put his foot down at his new school and will instill toughness to a Texas program that has lacked just that over the years. The Longhorns have an experienced quarterback in David Ash, a two-headed monster at running back that has yet to really tap into its potential and seven starters who return on defense. After what Strong was able to accomplish at Louisville, there’s no telling what he can do with a program that recruits insanely talented kids at every position. Can it happen in year 1? Who knows, but I do know odds of +700 is a hell of a bargain. Texas has a great group of linebackers and a solid secondary. The Longhorns also get Baylor, BYU and UCLA at home. Texas will be in the running for the Big 12 title.
As for the rest of the pack:
Oklahoma Sooners – I picked the Sooners to be one of the four playoff teams this season. However, for the sake of capping the conference, there’s no value at odds of -150.
Kansas State Wildcats – Kansas State will continue to give you those one or two games that have you scratching your head. But I’m not sure there’s enough overall talent to make a conference run. The Wildcats also get Oklahoma and Baylor on the road. Odds of +1000 aren’t good enough.
TCU Horned Frogs – The Horned Frogs are a mess after being forced to let go of pass rusher Devonte Fields. TCU also has a three-game stretch that includes Oklahoma, Baylor and Oklahoma State. Putting money on odds of +1500 would be a waste.
Texas Tech Red Raiders – Texas Tech had no running game to speak of last season and a defense that ranked 88th in the country in points allowed. You can keep those odds of +2800.
Iowa State Cyclones – Iowa State will pull off that upset somewhere in its schedule to make you a ton of money, but there’s no chance of pulling off a conference title. The Cyclones were 91st in points scored and 110th in points allowed last season. Even with odds of +12500, there’s just no way the Cyclones will come close to getting the job done.
West Virginia Mountaineers – West Virginia finished 2-7 in conference play last year and had a defense that finished 100th in points allowed. This year, the Mountaineers open the season against Alabama and have to play Oklahoma State and Texas on the road. Odds of +8000 are nice, but we’re not being realistic with ourselves if we touch it.
Kansas Jayhawks – Do I really need to explain this line? Kansas has won no more than three games in its last four seasons and hasn’t reached a bowl since 2008. Odds of +15000 seem low for some reason.