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Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern Cal Trojans 9/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, Prediction

Southern Cal Trojans (1-0) at Stanford Cardinal (1-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 6, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Stanford Stadium)

The Line: Stanford Cardinal -4 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds


The Stanford Cardinal and the USC Trojans face off on Saturday in Palo Alto for a huge early season Pac-12 college football tilt.

The Stanford Cardinal started their season with a game that is everything wrong with college football as they bludgeoned an over matched UC-Davis 45-0 in a game that had no business being played at all. Stanford has been a top ranked team for several years running at this point and why they feel the need to schedule a patsy that is far less of a workout than their daily practices doesn’t make a who lot of sense in the day and age when teams are going to need every bit of leverage they have to make the four team playoff. QB Kevin Hogan is back for his senior year and we have already seen what he is capable of last season but he also tossed three touchdowns in the opener. Barry Sanders carried the ball seven times as did Kelsey Young as Stanford appears to be strong once again in the running game. Receiver Ty Montgomery is also back for his senior year and he caught five passes in the opener with one going for a touchdown while tight end Austin Hooper caught four balls with one going for a TD. The Stanford defense allowed just 115 total yards as A.J. Tarpley had six tackles, David Parry had four tackles including a sack, and Wayne Lyons forced a fumble. While Stanford’s first game was an outright joke, things get serious in a hurry for David Shaw’s team.

Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern Cal Trojans 9/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, Prediction


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On paper the USC Trojans opener against Fresno State looked to be a stiff test for new Head Coach Steve Sarkisian but on the field it was a mismatch as the Trojans won in a blowout. Returning QB Cody Kessler looked sharp completing over 67 percent of his passes for 394 yards and four touchdowns. Javorius Allen led the USC rushing attack with 139 yards and a touchdown and James Toland IV and Justin Davis both saw significant carries. All American WR Nelson Agholor got his season started with five catches, two of which went for touchdowns and Darreus Rodgers also had five catches as 10 different receiver caught passes for USC. While the offense racked up 701 yards, the defense allowed just 317 ad grabbed four interceptions. Hayes Pullard led the way for the defense with 10 tackles, Leonard Williams had seven tackles and an interception, and Gerald Bowman had five tackles and an INT. USC was impressive in week one but that all goes out the window for this much more significant game.

Stanford is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, 34-16-1 against the spread in their last 51 Pac-12 games, and 5-2 against the spread at home against a team with a winning road record. USC is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, 2-11 against the spread in their last 13 road games, and 4-12 against the spread following a win. The underdog has covered the point spread in six of the last seven meetings of these two teams.

The totals is set at 51 but I see two pretty good defenses and what looks to be a smash mouth game so I am going to take the under in what is really just a lean. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area and on the app.

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