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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 9/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) at Tennessee Volunteers (1-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 6, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Neyland Stadium)

The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC Network

The Tennessee Volunteers and the Arkansas State Red Wolves face off on Saturday in Knoxville in week two college football action.

The Tennessee Volunteers put on an impressive show in their season opener knocking off Utah State turning a game most thought would be close into a one sided beat down. Tennessee got it done on both sides of the ball with the offense looking unstoppable at times and the defense just being tough to move on. QB Justin Worley threw for 273 yards and three touchdowns but he was sacked twice. The Vols gained just 110 yards on the ground led by Marlin Lane with 41 and a touchdown and Jalen Hurd with 29 yards. Worley sprad the ball around and it was primarily a short passing game as the receivers were led by Alton Howard with six catches for 37 yards and Marquez North with four catches for 38 yards. The Vols defense had two interceptions and a sack and came up with a lot of big stops to crush Utah State’s momentum. A.J. Johnson had nine tacles and an interception that went for a touchdown and Jalen Reeves-Maybin had 15 tackles including two for a loss. Tennessee looked solid it is just a matter of if they can follow it up, something that haven’t been able to do in recent years.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 9/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, Prediction


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The Arkansas State Red Wolves opened their season at home in Jonesboro and they took care of business against FCS Montana State. The ASU offense racked up 558 yards while soring 23 points in the win. QB Fredi Knighten threw for 219 yards and a touchdown and he ran for another 104 yards. Michael Gordon and Johnston White got the bulk of he carries and each of them scored a rushing touchdown and Tres Houston had eight receptions. Defensively Arkansas State allowed 228 yards and 10 points while grabbing two interceptions and six sacks. Xavier Woodson had seven tackles and a sack and Andrew Tryon, Sterling Young, and Chris Stone each had six tackles and a sack each. Arkansas State can create some problems for Tennessee but they can’t afford to make many mistakes.

Tennessee is 7-2 against the spread against the Sun Belt, 5-15-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-10-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread. Arkansas State is 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games, 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games, and 1-4 against the spread against the SEC.

Last season in a similar spot ASU was coming off of an easy win and went into Auburn and were housed and while in hindsight Auburn ended up going to the National Title game, Arkansas State wasn’t really competitive. I see this line as slightly inflated with Tennessee coming off of a prime time win but while there isn’t any value in the line, it isn’t unwarranted and I am going to cautiously lay the points. 

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