USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/6/14
Southern Cal Trojans (1-0) at Stanford Cardinal (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 6, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Stanford Stadium)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -2.5 -- Over/Under: 55 See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC, ESPN3
The USC Trojans and Stanford Cardinal will play a key Pac-12 college football game Saturday afternoon at Stanford Stadium.
The USC Trojans are coming off an effortless 52-13 victory over the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Trojans a field day offensively led by quarterback Cody Kessler, who threw for nearly 400 yards and four touchdowns. Javorius Allen had 133 rushing yards and a touchdown, while JuJu Smith caught only four passes for 123 yards. Southern Cal scored double-digit points in each of the three quarters and finished an incredible 11-18 on third down conversions. If USC can execute that well offensively every game, this could be a special year that puts the Trojans in the Pac-12 title game. Defensively, USC forced four turnovers and held the Bulldogs to 2-12 on third down. Hayes Pullard led the Trojans with eight tackles and Leonard Williams had his second career interception.
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The Stanford Cardinal breezed through the UC Davis Aggies with a 45-0 win. That was nothing more than a warm up game for Stanford, as the team played three quarterbacks and gave just about everybody some playing time. Kevin Hogan completed 12 of 16 pass attempts for 204 yards and three touchdowns, while Barry Sanders Jr. led the Cardinal with 43 rushing yards. The Cardinal took a 38-0 lead into halftime and only faced nine third down attempts all game. What’s more impressive than the offense is the Stanford Cardinal defense that allowed just six first downs and 115 yards. I don’t care who you play, that’s quite impressive. David Parry had 1.5 tackles for loss, while Peter Kalambayi and Noor Davis both came away with an interception.
The Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall. The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
This is a game that could go either way, and the short line advantage for Stanford is simply due to home field advantage. I actually like the Trojans in this spot on the road, as they come off as the more complete team and will have a chip on their shoulder with the way things have gone in past years. I'm still a little worried about how good the Cardinal defense actually is.
Give me the points, but I don't think we'll need them.