Arizona State Sun Devils at USC Trojans - 10/4/14 College Football Pick, Odds, Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1) at Southern Cal Trojans (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: Southern Cal Trojans -11.5 -- Over/Under: 66 See the Latest Odds
The Arizona State Sun Devils and USC Trojans play Saturday night at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a blowout loss to the UCLA Bruins and don’t have a bright future as long as quarterback Taylor Kelly is out with a foot injury. Backup Mike Bercovici is completing 60 percent of his passes for four touchdowns and two interceptions, but he doesn’t bring that same explosiveness and dual-threat ability that Kelly has. Offensively, the Sun Devils are sure to rely heavily on running back D.J. Foster, who has 540 yards and five touchdowns. Arizona State is 4-1 SU when Foster tops 100 rushing yards. Wide receiver Jaelen Strong is also coming off one of his performances of 12 catches for 146 yards, and it was the third time he had double-digit receptions in his career. Defensively, the Arizona Sun Devils are allowing 30.8 points, 442.5 yards, and have forced six turnovers and seven sacks. Damarious Randall leads Arizona State with 38 tackles and James Johnson has two pass deflections.
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The USC Trojans remain unbeaten in conference play and are relying on their defense to get the job done. USC is allowing just 17.5 points, 354.3 yards, and have forced nine turnovers and six sacks. The USC Trojans have won seven straight games when allowing 21 or less points. Leonard Williams leads USC with 27 tackles and Su'a Cravens has five tackles for loss. Offensively, Cody Kessler is completing 72 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Javorius Allen is averaging 5.4 yards per carry with two touchdowns, while Nelson Agholor has five or more catches in three of the four games this season. The USC Trojans are a balanced football team that’s tough to beat when they actually show up.
The Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games. The Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
You get the feeling that Arizona State is emotionally drained without its starting quarterback. Meanwhile, the USC Trojans are feeling good coming off a big win over Oregon State and has their eyes set on a trip to the Pac-12 Championship Game. The chalk is a little too high for my taste, but the Trojans should win by two touchdowns or so.