Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/4/14
Purdue Boilermakers (2-3) at Illinois Fighting Illini (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Purdue Boilermakers and Illinois Fighting Illini will play Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium.
As expected, the Purdue Boilermakers haven’t gotten off to a great start and will now look for their first road win since November of 2012. Purdue is desperate for playmakers on the offensive side of the ball, as they’ve been held to 17 or less points in three of their last four games. Danny Etling is completing only 54.9 percent of his passes and has five interceptions to six touchdowns, while the Boilermakers ground game is averaging less than four yards per carry. Senior running back Akeem Hunt is averaging a solid six yards per carry and has caught 18 passes, but Purdue has to abandon the ground game late in games due to a lopsided score, making its top playmaker ineffective for the most part. Danny Anthrop leads Purdue with 18 receptions for 237 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 387.4 yards per game and have forced six turnovers and 13 sacks. Landon Feichter leads Purdue with 44 tackles and Ryan Watson has four sacks.
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The Illinois Fighting Illini look to remain unbeaten at home and get one step closer to a bowl appearance. The one thing the Fighting Illini have going for them is a passing game that’s ranked 24th in the country. However, Wes Lunt missed last week with a knee injury and is questionable for this matchup as well. If Lunt can’t go, Reilly O'Toole will get the nod, and he’s completing just 48.8 percent of his passes for one touchdown and three interceptions. Illinois doesn’t have much going for it besides a great passing game, as the ground game is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry and the defense has allowed 80 points in the last two games. Geronimo Allison has 418 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 468.6 yards per game and have forced seven turnovers and 12 sacks. Taylor Barton leads Illinois with 54 tackles and Austin Teitsma has six tackles for loss.
The Boilermakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Fighting Illini are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Lunt has been upgraded to probable, which makes the Fighting Illini the pick here. Purdue doesn't do anything well on either side of the ball and shouldn't put up much of a fight.