Indiana Hoosiers vs. North Texas Mean Green CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/4/14
North Texas Mean Green (2-2) at Indiana Hoosiers (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 2:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Indiana Hoosiers -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The North Texas Mean Green and Indiana Hoosiers will play Saturday at Memorial Stadium.
The North Texas Mean Green have had two weeks to prepare for this game and are looking for their first road win of the season. Offensively, North Texas is all about controlling the tempo with a running game that’s averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Reggie Pegram leads the Mean Green with 214 yards and three touchdowns, while freshman Erick Evans is averaging more than eight yards per carry in a limited role. North Texas has six running plays that have produced more than 20 yards and have ran for 11 touchdowns in their last three games. Throwing the ball isn’t the Mean Green’s strength, as they’re completing just 54.1 percent of their passes and continue to play three different quarterbacks. Josh Greer has seen the most playing time with 50 pass attempts, and he has zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Defensively, the North Texas Mean Green are allowing 307.3 yards per game and have forced 11 turnovers and 18 sacks. Kenny Buyers leads North Texas with 15 solo tackles and Chad Polk has 3.5 sacks.
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The Indiana Hoosiers look to bounce back after being embarrassed by Maryland last week. The one constant for the Hoosiers this season has been a running game that’s averaging 5.6 yards per carry. The ground game is Indiana’s strength, and a combination of Tevin Coleman and D'Angelo Roberts has produced more than 900 yards and 10 touchdowns. The Hoosiers will continue to line up and run the ball, as they have 203 rushing attempts already, which is 18th in the country. Nate Sudfeld is completing just 57.4 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and two interceptions, as he hasn’t thrown more than one touchdown pass in five straight games. Defensively, the Indiana Hoosiers are allowing 432 yards per game and have forced three turnovers and nine sacks. Antonio Allen leads Indiana with 25 tackles and Nate Hoff has four tackles for loss.
The Mean Green are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Hoosiers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
It's tough to lay so many points with an Indiana team that plays little to no defense, but North Texas simply hasn't shown much in the first month of the season and wasn't competitve against above-average comp. I'm chalking the Hoosiers loss last week to being a letdown game after the win over Missouri. Indiana should get back on track here with a blowout victory.