Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/4/14
Baylor Bears (4-0) at Texas Longhorns (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Texas Longhorns +14.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Baylor Bears and Texas Longhorns will clash in a Texas battle Saturday afternoon at Royal Texas Memorial Stadium.
This will be the Baylor Bears third straight road game and if it’s anything like the last two, they should be in great hands. Baylor’s offense has scored no less than 45 points and Bryce Petty has thrown for more than 700 yards and five touchdowns in his last two games, as the Bears have the best offense in the country. Shock Linwood leads a Baylor ground game that’s averaging 5.1 yards per carry, and he’s rushed for seven of the Bears 18 touchdowns. Baylor also has six players with more than 100 receiving yards and freshman KD Cannon has at least one touchdown reception in three of his first four games. It’s the same stuff just a different season from Baylor’s offense. Defensively, the Baylor Bears aren’t getting enough credit, as they’re allowing just 250.5 yards per game and have forced six turnovers and 18 sacks. Bryce Hager leads Baylor with 21 tackles and Shawn Oakman has four sacks.
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The Texas Longhorns could use a big win here to keep some of the heat off of Charlie Strong and his staff. In order for that to happen the Longhorns will have to improve drastically on offense, as they’ve produced just 47 combined points in their last three games. UT is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry as Johnathan Gray and Malcolm Brown have been huge disappointments and no receiver besides John Harris and M.J. McFarland has a touchdown reception. Tyrone Swoopes has been solid in his first couple of games, completing 63.6 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and one interception, but he’s had little to no help to do anything major. The Longhorns aren’t going to win much if the offense continues to struggle. Defensively, the Texas Longhorns are allowing 320.8 yards per game and have forced 11 turnovers and 16 sacks. Jordan Hicks leads the Longhorns with 48 tackles and Malcom Brown has 3.5 sacks.
The Bears are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Texas, while the road team is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
I was tempted to take the Longhorns and the points, but I have seen nothing positive from them in order to think they can keep this game close. The Baylor Bears are a team that's clicking on both sides of the ball and has shown no signs of weakness. Unless Texas can put up 30 or so points, this will be a blowout. Don't hold your breath, Baylor wins with ease.