Iowa vs. Indiana - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Indiana Hoosiers (3-2) at Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 11, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Indiana Hoosiers and Iowa Hawkeyes play Saturday afternoon at Kinnick Stadium.
The Indiana Hoosiers are just three wins away from becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2007. Offensively, Indiana relies on the ninth-best rushing attack in the country, as Tevin Coleman and D'Angelo Roberts have combined for 1,200 yards and 13 touchdowns. The Hoosiers are averaging over six yards per carry and have produced 11 running plays of 20 or more yards. Nate Sudfeld is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and two interceptions, and he’s coming off a three-touchdown performance. Shane Wynn leads Indiana with 363 receiving yards and two touchdowns, Nick Stoner has caught seven of his 16 passes in his last two games. J-Shun Harris II is questionable for this game after suffering a concussion last week against the North Texas Mean Green. Defensively, the Indiana Hoosiers are allowing 28.6 points, 415.2 yards, and they’ve forced five turnovers and 11 sacks. T.J. Simmons leads Indiana with 29 tackles and Bobby Richardson has three sacks.
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The Iowa Hawkeyes have had two weeks to prepare for this game and will play their first home game in about a month. Iowa is a team that has turned to its defense in a big way, as it’s allowing just 17.2 points, 310.4 yards, and has forced seven turnovers and 12 sacks. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games when allowing 24 or less points. Drew Ott leads Iowa with 5.5 tackles for loss and John Lowdermilk has two interceptions. Offensively, Jake Rudock and C.J. Beathard will both see playing time in this game, as they’re completing a combined 63.4 percent of their passes for six touchdowns and three interceptions. Mark Weisman has rushed for four touchdowns in his last two games, giving the Hawkeyes a much needed spark offensively. Kevonte Martin-Manley has 26 of Iowa’s 111 receptions this season.
The Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
While Indiana has been making progress the last couple of years, Iowa's strength is its run defense and should be able to bottle up the Hoosiers rushing attack. This game won't be sexy, but the Iowa Hawkeyes should pull away late and win this game by at least a touchdown.