Texas Tech vs. West Virginia - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 11, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox Sports 1
The West Virginia Mountaineers and Texas Tech Red Raiders play Saturday at Jones AT&T Stadium.
This will be the second true road game of the season for the West Virginia Mountaineers, a team with the sixth-best passing offense in the country. Clint Trickett is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and four interceptions, and he’s thrown for more than 1,900 yards. West Virginia has six players with double-digit receptions and have produced 22 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Kevin White and Mario Alford have combined for eight receiving touchdowns and 80 receptions overall. The only complaint offensively for West Virginia has to be a ground game that’s averaging less than four yards per carry. However, Rushel Shell is coming off his first 100-yard performance, and he has scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games. Defensively, the West Virginia Mountaineers are allowing 25.8 points, 358.6 yards, and have forced three turnovers and seven sacks. Karl Joseph leads West Virginia with 38 tackles and Nick Kwiatkoski has six tackles for loss.
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost three straight games and are in danger of missing a bowl game for the first time since 2011 if they can’t turn it around. The Red Raiders defense has allowed 45 or more points in their last three games and is the real reason for their struggles. Overall, Texas Tech is allowing 40 points, 472.2 yards, and they’ve forced five turnovers and eight sacks. Sam Eguavoen leads Texas Tech with 39 tackles and Pete Robertson has five tackles for loss. Offensively, Texas Tech is a lot like West Virginia, lead by a potent passing game with Davis Webb completing 62.2 percent of his passes for more than 1,600 yards, 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Jakeem Grant and Bradley Marquez have combined for 69 receptions and 10 touchdowns. DeAndre Washington leads a Texas Tech ground game that’s averaging more than five yards per pop, as he has 326 rushing yards on 60 carries.
The Mountaineers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
This is pretty much a must win for the Texas Tech Red Raiders, as the schedule doesn't get any easier from here. Both teams struggle defensively and the Red Raiders are coming home after playing back-to-back games on the road. I expect a shootout and the Texas Tech crowd to help as much as they can. I can see an upset here, so I'll take the Red Raiders and the points.