BYU Cougars vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Pick-Odds-Prediction - 10/18/14
Nevada Wolf Pack (3-3) at BYU Cougars (4-2)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: BYU Cougars -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
Lavell Edwards Stadium will be rocking when their Brigham Young Cougars tangle with the Nevada Wolf Pack.
A late comeback by the Nevada Wolf Pack came up short in a 31-24 loss to visiting Colorado State in week seven that dropped their record to 3-3. Nevada trailed 17-3 at the half and 31-3 in the third quarter before closing the game on a 21-0 run to make the visitors do plenty of squirming in the final five minutes. Both teams had solid days offensively with around 450 yards apiece with each relying mostly on the pass to move the chains. Cody Fajardo was the centerpiece of the Nevada attack with 88 yards on the ground including a 13 yard touchdown in the third that began the late rally. Fajardo connected on 27-50 throws for 297 yards with nine yard and eleven yard scoring tosses to Hasaan Henderson and Richy Turner respectively while also throwing an interception. Jerico Richardson paced the Nevada receiving corps with ten catches for 122 yards.
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There was talk that Brigham Young might challenge for one of the playoff spots but that talk ended abruptly when star quarterback Taysom Hill broke his leg in a loss to Utah State. The Cougars followed up with a 31-24 overtime loss at Central Florida in a game they led 24-10 in the third quarter. BYU struggled to move the ball with 342 yards and a pair of turnovers while the Knights totaled 389 yards with a pair of lost fumbles and threw two interceptions. Christian Stewart threw for 153 yards with three touchdowns and an interception but was only 22-37 which meant the passing game was on the short side of things. Algernon Brown paced Brigham Young on the ground with 88 yards on 16 totes while Stewart and Paul Lasike added a combined 103 yards on 25 touches in a four yards and a cloud of dust ground game.
Nevada has gone under in five straight following an ATS loss and is 3-3 ATS in 2014. Brigham Young is 0-4 ATS on grass and 0-4 ATS in their last four non conference games while going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four at home. The Cougars won this match up in 2013 27-23 at Nevada as a 15 point favorite.
Much of what happens here from an offensive perspective for the Wolf Pack will come through Fajardo who will run and throw. I would think Brigham Young will try to keep the ball on the ground and limit the number of times Stewart puts the ball in the air. Right now I'll back Nevada who has lost three games by a single score and I'm getting DD here...