Central Florida Knights vs. Tulane Green Wave Pick-Odds-Prediction - 10/18/14
Tulane Green Wave (2-4) at Central Florida Knights (3-2)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: Central Florida Knights -21 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds
The Central Florida Knights hope to be unpleasant hosts when the Tulane Green Wave come to town.
The Central Florida Knights won number three in a row in a 31-24 overtime decision over shorthanded BYU in week seven. This has been an interesting season as much of the talent that put Central Florida in the national spotlight a year ago has departed leaving George O'Leary to fill in the blanks. The Knights led the yardage battle 389-342 without having to face quarterback Taysom Hill which robbed the Cougars of much of their explosiveness. The Knights were one dimensional with no running threat which was made worse by four turnovers. Justin Holman saved UCF with 326 passing yards with a pair of touchdowns and two interceptions with Joshua Reese and Breshad Perriman accounting for eleven catches for 170 yards with Reese hauling in a 37 yard TD. Central Florida was probably a bit overlooked but probably won't be going forward.
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The Tulane Green Wave avoided a three game slide with a 12-3 victory over visiting Connecticut that was dominated by the respective defenses. In a way this type of game favored UConn who must slow things down and ugly things up because lighting up the scoreboard isn't their forte' and if you follow the Green Wave, ugly games are not a problem. The Green Wave defense got the better end of the deal as they held the Huskies to only 217 yards while recovering a pair of fumbles and recording an interception while getting on the scoreboard with a third quarter safety. Tulane totaled 301 yards and 14 first downs so they didn't consistently move the chains behind the ultra short passing attack of Nick Montana who connected on 19-26 for 135 yards and a seven yard touchdown to Charles Jones. Lazedrick Thompson and Sherman Badie gave the Tulane rushing game some significant yardage with a combined 150 yards on 26 carries.
The under is 4-0 in the Green Wave's last four games after throwing for less then 170 yards in their previous game and is 4-0-1 in the past five when scoring less then 20 points in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Knights last four games when allowing less then 170 yards passing in their previous game and is 4-0 in the last four conference games. Head to head the Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings while the favorite is 4-1 in the last five.
The trends favor Central Florida largely because they have been loaded the past several seasons. The Knights might not be the same team but they are still much better then the Green Wave. However when I say much better I don't really mean three touchdowns better...