Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Pick-Odds-Prediction - 10/18/14
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-3) at Florida Atlantic Owls (2-4)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: Florida Atlantic Owls +6 -- Over/Under: 65 See the Latest Odds
The Florida Atlantic Owls look to get back in the win column against the visiting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have been a dynamic offense in 2014 but it was their defense that came up short in a 42-39 home loss to Alabama-Birmingham. This was back and forth scoring with the Blazers approaching 600 yards while the Hilltoppers topped 500 yards. UAB was equally effective on the ground or in the air while WKY leaned more on their passing. Although the Hilltoppers didn't get many stops they won the turnover battle 3-0 including a pick six. Brandon Doughty was strong through the air with 319 yards and two touchdowns while Anthony Wales provided the punch on the ground with 138 yards and three touchdowns. Western Kentucky has been a more balanced team on both sides of the ball but in 2014 they have been a score first squad which was obvious versus Alabama-Birmingham.
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The Florida Atlantic Owls struggled on both sides of the ball in a 38-10 loss to conference and instate rival Florida International as around a touchdown favorite. The defense played well enough to win with only 345 yards allowed but could not overcome four turnovers with the Golden Panthers returning a fumble 100 yards for a touchdown. FAU mustered 383 yards but star quarterback Jaquez Johnson struggling to just a 19-42 effort for 225 yards with an interception. Johnson addeded another 64 yards with his legs with Jay Warren contributing 58 yards including a 31 yard scoring jaunt. The story of this game was FAU mistakes with the Golden Panthers taking advantage. Another key was star quarterback Jaquez Johnson was struggling to connect with his receiving corps and a Florida Atlantic victory depended heavily on what Johnson did of didn't do.
The under is 6-1 in the Hilltoppers last seven games coming off a bye week and 1-6 ATS after throwing for more then 280 yards the previous week. Florida Atlantic is 5-1 ATS in the last six on grass and 5-1 ATS in their last six home game. Head to head the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings with the road team going 4-1 ATS in the last five with the under going 4-1 in the lst five match ups.
The Hilltoppers are not a fearsome defense so in my eyes the Owls are going to put the ball in the endzone which means Jaquez Johnson will have to have a decent gae throwing and running while limiting mistakes. Western Kentucky has become an offensive team with a big passing game so the key for them is Brandon Doughty having continued success in the air. Right now I'm leaning Western Kentucky but please check back Friday for an update...