Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans - 10/18/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (5-1) at Indiana Hoosiers (3-3)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: Indiana Hoosiers +14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Indiana Hoosiers play Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans look to remain undefeated in conference play and back-to-back road wins. Despite throwing interceptions in back-to-back games, Connor Cook has thrown at least two touchdowns in five of the first six games and is completing 58.3 percent of his passes. On the outside, Michigan State is a two-man show, as Tony Lippett and Josiah Price are the only Spartans with double-digit receptions and they’ve combined for 11 touchdowns. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored in four of his last five games and leads Michigan State with 555 yards on 104 carries. With its defense in place, Michigan State has won 11 straight regular season games when allowing 25 or less points. Defensively, the Michigan State Spartans are allowing 22.3 points, 304.2 yards, and they’ve forced 18 turnovers and 22 sacks. Kurtis Drummond leads MSU with 31 tackles and Ed Davis has 6.5 tackles for loss.
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The Indiana Hoosiers are still looking for their first conference win and likely won’t get it until their defense improves. Indiana is allowing 31.3 points, 417 yards and has forced five turnovers and 13 sacks. The Hoosiers have lost 10 of their last 13 games when allowing 25 or more points. T.J. Simmons leads Indiana with 34 tackles and Bobby Richardson has four sacks. Offensively, the Indiana Hoosiers are likely going to be without quarterback Nate Sudfeld who injured his shoulder against Michigan State. Freshman Chris Covington will likely get the nod, and he only has 12 pass attempts under his belt. It’s a good thing the Hoosiers have a good running game as they’re averaging 6.4 yards per carry, and Tevin Coleman and D'Angelo Roberts have combined for more than 1,400 yards and 16 touchdowns. Shane Wynn leads Indiana with 424 receiving yards.
The Spartans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Hoosiers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Indiana, while the home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Two touchdowns is a lot to lay with a road team in a big matchup, but Indiana is a one-dimensional offense that doesn’t have its starting quarterback and plays poor defense. That’s a recipe for disaster, as the Spartans should crush the Hoosiers. I’ll lay the chalk here.