Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide - 10/18/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) at Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 See the Latest Odds
The Texas A&M Aggies and Alabama Crimson Tide will square off Saturday afternoon at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
The Texas A&M Aggies have lost back-to-back games and need a win here to prevent falling out of the polls. Texas A&M really goes as far as quarterback Kenny Hill takes it, as he’s completing 66.8 percent of his passes for 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Texas A&M has 22 passing plays of 25 or more yards and six different players with 20-plus receptions. Josh Reynolds and Edward Pope have combined for more than 800 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. The Aggies ground game is averaging 5.3 yards per carry, while Trey Williams and Tra Carson have combined for 574 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Texas A&M has won 23 of its last 27 regular season games when scoring 21 or more points the last three seasons. Defensively, the Texas A&M Aggies are allowing 22.6 points, 397 yards, and they’ve forced six turnovers and 21 sacks. Deshazor Everett leads Texas A&M with 47 tackles and Myles Garrett has nine tackles for loss.
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The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off two shaky road games but are still a decent 5-1 overall. Alabama continues to get the job done defensively, as it’s allowing 15.3 points, 277.2 yards, and has forced eight turnovers and 13 sacks. Alabama is 26-1 in its last 27 regular season games when holding a team to 24 or less points. Landon Collins leads Alabama with 46 tackles and Xzavier Dickson has five sacks. Offensively, Blake Sims is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Amari Cooper remains Alabama’s top offensive weapon, as he’s caught 54 of the Crimson Tide’s 122 receptions and five of them have produced touchdowns. T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry have combined for more than 800 rushing yards and four touchdowns, as Alabama is averaging 4.9 yards per carry.
The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Crimson Tide are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
I don’t like what I’ve seen from Alabama and its defense has given up a decent amount of plays in the passing game. In fact, the Crimson Tide have allowed 33 passing plays of 15 or more yards. Texas A&M has the players on the offensive side of the ball to make this game interesting. The Crimson Tide will likely find a way to win, but I like the Aggies to keep it under two touchdowns.