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Arkansas State at UL Lafayette - 10/21/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-2) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns (3-3)

College Football: Tuesday

The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns +2.5 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds


The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns play Tuesday night at Cajun Field.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have won three straight games and hope to remain undefeated in the Sun Belt. Arkansas State is a defensive team first that’s allowing 20.5 points, 360.2 yards, and they’ve forced 10 turnovers and 22 sacks. Arkansas State has won seven straight games when holding a team under 30 points. Xavier Woodson leads Arkansas State with 47 tackles and Chris Stone has four sacks. Offensively, Fredi Knighten is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Knighten has also rushed for 333 yards and six scores, producing eight total touchdowns in his last two games. Arkansas State has six different players with double-digit receptions, and J.D. McKissic leads the Red Wolves with 383 receiving yards on 35 catches. Arkansas State averages 4.6 yards per carry and Michael Gordon has rushed for 356 yards in his last two games.

Arkansas State at  UL Lafayette - 10/21/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are also undefeated in conference play. Louisiana-Lafayette’s offense has picked up the pace recently and it all starts with QB Terrance Broadway, who is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns and eight interceptions while rushing for 332 yards and a score. While turnover prone, the Ragin’ Cajuns have won 10 of their last 12 games SU when Broadway throws a touchdown pass. Elijah McGuire does everything for Louisiana-Lafayette, as he leads the way with 395 rushing yards and four touchdowns and is second on the team with 242 receiving yards and a touchdown. McGuire has scored at least one touchdown in three straight games. Defensively, the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns allow 30.8 points, 426.7 yards, and they’ve forced three turnovers and 11 sacks. Trae Johnson leads the Ragin’ Cajuns with 35 tackles and Christian Ringo has eight tackles for loss.

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The Red Wolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games. The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Red Wolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in UL Lafayette.

Arkansas State is the better team on both sides of the ball, especially on defense. I just can't back a team that's ranked 87th in the country in total defense. The Red Wolves should win his game and cover the small number. 

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