Miami at Virginia Tech - 10/23/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Miami Hurricanes (4-3) at Virginia Tech Hokies (4-3)
College Football: Thursday
The Line: Virginia Tech Hokies +2.5 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds
The Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Tech Hokies play Thursday night under the lights of Lane Stadium.
The Miami Hurricanes are looking for stability after splitting their last four games and could find it by picking up their first road win of the season. Freshman Brad Kaaya is finally starting to adjust to being the starter, as he’s completing 63 percent of his passes on the season and has thrown four touchdowns and two interceptions in his last two games. Miami has 20 passing plays of 25 or more yards and has seven different players with double-digit receptions. Phillip Dorsett leads the way with 550 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while Clive Walford has caught four touchdowns. Of course, the Hurricanes live and die with running back Duke Johnson, who leads Miami with 787 rushing yards and has scored in six straight games. Duke Johnson is also heating up at the right time with 417 rushing yards in his last three games. Defensively, the Miami Hurricanes are allowing 24.4 points, 327.4 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 16 sacks. Denzel Perryman leads the Hurricanes with 51 tackles and Thurston Armbrister has six tackles for loss.
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The Virginia Tech Hokies have lost three of their last five games and continue to struggle putting points on the board. Virginia Tech wins games with its defense that’s allowing 20 points, 326 yards, and has forced 14 turnovers and 28 sacks. Virginia Tech has won 12 of its last 14 games SU when allowing 24 or less points. Chase Williams leads Virginia Tech with 54 tackles but is expected to miss this game, and Ken Ekanem has five sacks but is also out for this matchup. That puts pressure on Michael Brewer, who is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Isaiah Ford and Cam Phillips have combined for more than 700 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Marshawn Williams leads Virginia Tech with 337 rushing yards and three touchdowns, and he’s probable for this game despite an ankle injury.
The Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Hokies are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 Thursday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Virginia Tech.
While the Hurricanes have been a nightmare against the number and have yet to win a road game, Virginia Tech is missing most of its key players. The Hokies will be without their leading tackler and sack leader for this game. That's bad news when going up against an explosive offensive team such as Miami. I really like getting the Hurricanes under a field goal.