Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears - 10/24/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Oregon Ducks (6-1) at California Golden Bears (4-3)
College Football: Friday
The Line: California Golden Bears +18 -- Over/Under: 79.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
The Oregon Ducks and Cal Golden Bears play a big Pac-12 showdown Friday night at Levi's Stadium.
The Oregon Ducks seem to be back on track by scoring 87 points in their last two games and leading the North Division. Marcus Mariota is playing Heisman caliber football by completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 19 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mariota has completed no less than 60.2 percent of his passes in a single game this season and has scored three or more touchdowns in five of seven games. There are four different Oregon players with three or more touchdown receptions, and Devon Allen leads the way with 440 yards and six touchdowns. Running back Byron Marshall has caught at least five passes in four straight games and Pharaoh Brown has scored in two of his last four games. Oregon’s ground game is averaging 5.3 yards per carry and Royce Freeman leads the way with 636 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Freeman has scored six touchdowns in his last two games. Defensively, the Oregon Ducks are allowing 23.7 points, 448.4 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 20 sacks. Reggie Daniels leads Oregon with 32 solo tackles and DeForest Buckner has eight tackles for loss.
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The Cal Golden Bears have lost two straight games and are in danger of missing a bowl game for the third straight season. Cal goes as far as quarterback Jared Goff takes it, as he’s completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 24 touchdowns and four interceptions. The Golden Bears are 4-4 SU when Goff throws for three or more touchdowns. Cal has produced 24 passing plays of 25 or more yards and has seven different players with at least 15 receptions. Bryce Treggs and Kenny Lawler have combined for nearly 800 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Trevor Davis will miss this game with a head injury. Cal is averaging 3.5 rushing yards per attempt, and Daniel Lasco and Khalfani Muhammad have combined for 10 touchdowns. Cal has scored 31 or more points in six of their seven games this season. Defensively, the Cal Golden Bears are allowing 38.4 points, 525.1 yards, and they’ve forced 10 turnovers and 11 sacks. Michael Barton leads Cal with 48 tackles and Griffin Piatt has three interceptions.
The Ducks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win. The Golden Bears are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I like Cal and find it tough to lay this many points on the table with a home dog. However, Cal plays little to no defense and that's not good when facing an explosive Oregon squad. Give me the Ducks and the chalk.