Kansas State vs. Texas - 10/25/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
Texas Longhorns (3-4) at Kansas State Wildcats (5-1)
College Football: Saturday
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Texas Longhorns and Kansas State Wildcats will play Saturday afternoon at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
This will be the second true road game for the Texas Longhorns, a team that’s sitting with an ugly 3-4 record. The issue for the Longhorns remains a ground game that’s averaging just 3.9 yards per carry and an offense that’s scored 23 or less points in six of their last 10 regular season games. Tyrone Swoopes is completing 61 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and five interceptions, and has thrown at least one pick in three straight games. John Harris and Jaxon Shipley have combined for 84 of the Longhorns 149 receptions and more than 1,000 receiving yards. Marcus Johnson is the only other Texas player with more than 100 receiving yards. Malcolm Brown is coming off a two-touchdown performance and Johnathan Gray has scored in two of his last three games. Defensively, the Texas Longhorns are allowing 24.6 points, 346.3 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 23 sacks. Jordan Hicks leads the Longhorns with 85 tackles and Malcom Brown has 4.5 sacks.
USA TODAY Sports
The Kansas State Wildcats look to improve to 6-1 and remain in the Big 12 hunt. Offensively, Jake Waters is Kansas State’s bread and butter, as he’s completing 65.1 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and three interceptions. In his last three games, Waters hasn’t thrown an interception and has scored 10 total touchdowns. Tyler Lockett leads Kansas State with 485 receiving yards and has hauled in three touchdowns in his last two games. Curry Sexton is the only other Kansas State player with double-digit receptions. Charles Jones has 339 rushing yards and three touchdowns but hasn’t scored in two straight games. Defensively, the Kansas State Wildcats are allowing 22.5 points, 352 yards, and they’ve forced nine turnovers and seven sacks. Jonathan Truman leads Kansas State with 60 tackles and Dakorey Johnson has 5.5 tackles for loss.
The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in October. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 conference games. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas State, while the underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
I’m high on the Kansas State Wildcats and simply don’t trust the Texas Longhorns with their lack of offensive production. The Wildcats should have little trouble winning this game by double digits, but I’d probably wait a bit to see if the line goes down to an even 10 points. If not, buying a half a point down would likely be your best bet.