Texas Tech vs. Texas - 11/1/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Longhorns (3-5) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 1, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +5 -- Over/Under: 57 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
The Texas Longhorns and Texas Tech Red Raiders play Saturday night at Jones AT&T Stadium.
The Texas Longhorns have lost three of their last four games and will play just their third true road game of the season. The Longhorns offense is the reason for their struggles, as Tyrone Swoopes is completing just 60.1 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and five interceptions. In his last three games, Swoopes has five total touchdowns and two picks. John Harris and Jaxon Shipley have combined for 91 of Texas’ 162 receptions, more than 1,000 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Texas has 15 passing plays of 25 or more yards and only three players with at least one touchdown reception. The lack of playmakers for Texas is mind boggling, as it was just shutout for the first time since 2004. The lack of ground success certainly doesn’t help, as the Longhorns are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry and have gone three games without a rushing score. Malcolm Brown leads the way with 412 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Texas Longhorns are allowing 24.4 points, 348.9 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 26 sacks. Jordan Hicks leads Texas with 96 tackles and Hassan Ridgeway has five sacks.
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost five of their last six games and just allowed 82 points last week to TCU. Texas Tech’s defense has been brutal all season, allowing 42.5 points, 506.3 yards, and has forced eight turnovers and 15 sacks. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have allowed 35 or more points in 11 of their last 13 regular season games. Pete Robertson leads Texas Tech with 59 tackles and J.J. Gaines has two interceptions. Offensively, Davis Webb is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 24 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. However, Webb is questionable for this game with an ankle injury, which means we may see freshman Patrick Mahomes. Jakeem Grant and Bradley Marquez have combined for 99 receptions, more than 1,200 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. Texas Tech has 21 passing plays of 25 or more yards and is averaging 11.9 yards per catch. The Red Raiders ground game is averaging 5.2 yards per carry and DeAndre Washington leads the way with 699 rushing yards, most of which have come in the last three games.
The Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a complete mess and have shown to be brutal on the defensive side of the ball. So, while the Texas Longhorns aren't much better and struggle offensively, I like Texas' defense to get the job done and cover the number by a touchdown.