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Northern Illinois at Ball State - 11/5/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Northern Illinois Huskies (6-2) at Ball State Cardinals (3-5)

College Football: Wednesday, November 5, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Scheumann Stadium)

The Line: Ball State Cardinals +3-- Over/Under: 63 See the Latest Odds


The Northern Illinois Huskies and Ball State Cardinals play Wednesday night at Scheumann Stadium.

The Northern Illinois Huskies have won three of their last four games and bring in one of the best rushing offenses in the country. Northern Illinois is averaging 5.3 yards per carry, and Drew Hare and Cameron Stingily have combined for more than 1,000 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Northern Illinois has 20 rushing plays of 20 or more yards and has won five straight games when topping 200 rushing yards. Drew Hare is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and one interception. However, due to the dominant running game, Hare has thrown only three touchdowns in his last four games. Northern Illinois is averaging 12.2 yards per catch, and Da'Ron Brown and Juwan Brescacin have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, the Northern Illinois Huskies are allowing 26.3 points, 402.6 yards, and they’ve forced seven turnovers and 17 sacks. Marlon Moore leads Northern Illinois with 59 tackles and Jason Meehan has 8.5 tackles for loss.

Northern Illinois at Ball State - 11/5/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Ball State Cardinals have a little momentum going with back-to-back wins. Jack Milas is completing 56 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and zero interceptions, which are numbers he’s put up in his last three games in replace of Ozzie Mann. Ball State isn’t the best offensive team in the country, producing just 12 passing plays of 25 or more yards and averaging less than 11 yards per catch. KeVonn Mabon and Jordan Williams have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, while Dylan Curry has caught a touchdown in two of his last three games. Ball State is averaging 3.9 yards per carry and Jahwan Edwards lead the way with 828 yards and eight touchdowns. Edwards has three touchdowns in his last two games, as he’s doing what he can to put Ball State on his back. Defensively, the Ball State Cardinals are allowing 26.6 points, 404.4 yards, and they’ve forced 17 turnovers and seven sacks. Ben Ingle leads Ball State with 71 tackles and Darnell Smith has 4.5 tackles for loss.

The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Ball State, while the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The big difference between these teams is that Northern Illinois does one thing great, which is run the football. Ball State struggles at just about everything but has found ways to keep games close and seems like its finally learning how to close games. This is one of those coin flip games that makes it tough to read. However, I'm leaning with the Huskies simply because they do a great job of moving the chains.

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