Alabama at LSU - 11/8/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) at LSU Tigers (7-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Tiger Stadium)
The Line: LSU Tigers +6.5 -- Over/Under: 45 See the Latest Odds
The Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers square off Saturday night at Tiger Stadium.
The Alabama Crimson Tide look to remain in the playoff contention with a win. Blake Sims is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and three interceptions. Sims has nine total touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and Alabama has 21 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Amari Cooper has 1,132 receiving yards and nine touchdowns, while DeAndrew White has caught seven of his 23 passes in his last two games. Alabama’s ground game is averaging 5.1 yards per carry, and T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry have combined for more than 1,100 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Yeldon is probable despite dealing with a foot injury. Alabama has won 16 of its last 17 games when its rushed for at least two touchdowns. Defensively, the Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 14 points, 277.3 yards, and they’ve forced 11 turnovers and 21 sacks. Reggie Ragland leads Alabama with 54 tackles and Xzavier Dickson has nine tackles for loss.
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The LSU Tigers look to win four straight and beat a top five team for the second straight week. LSU relies heavily on a defense that’s allowing 15.9 points, 318.1 yards, and has forced 17 turnovers and 15 sacks. The LSU Tigers have won 15 straight when allowing 24 or less points. Kwon Alexander leads LSU with 57 tackles and Danielle Hunter has 10 tackles for loss. Offensively, Anthony Jennings is completing 50 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Jennings has three touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and LSU has 23 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Travin Dural and Malachi Dupre have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. The LSU ground game is averaging 4.6 yards per carry, and freshman Leonard Fournette leads the way with 657 yards and seven touchdowns. Terrence Magee has rushed for 201 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games.
The Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Louisiana State, while the road team is 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 meetings.
Besides the fact the Tigers rarely lose night games at home, LSU's defense is good enough to make this game. I wouldn't be surprised if LSU won this game outright, but taking the points seems to be the safe way to go, as this should be your typical SEC old-school defensive blood bath.