LSU vs. Alabama - 11/8/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) at LSU Tigers (7-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Tiger Stadium)
The Line: LSU Tigers +6 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds
The LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday Night in Baton Rouge for their annual SEC college football tilt.
The LSU Tigers are as usual loaded with talent but their slow start to the season took them out of the National Title hunt early. LSU is playing their best football of the season and are coming off of a monster effort knocking off a previously unbeaten Ole Miss. The LSU offense is averaging 32.8 points and 414.2 yards per game as QB Anthony Jennings’ less than spectacular stats, a 50 percent completion percentage with eight touchdowns and five interceptions, have been offset by a an improving and powerful running attack. Leonard Fournette has been all he was billed to be rushing for 657 yards and seven touchdowns, Terrance Magee has been a handful averaging 6.1 yards per carry, and Kenny Hilliard has a 5.0 yards per carry average as well as the veteran leadership. Travin Dural has been the top receiving target for LSU with 27 catches and seven touchdowns, Trey Quinn has 16 reception, and Malachi Dupre has 11 catches with four touchdowns but he is sitting on a world of talent. The Tigers defense has been rock solid of late and just getting better by the game allowing 15.9 points and 318.1 yards per game forcing 17 turnovers. Kwon Alexander has 57 tackles, Danielle Hunter has 55 tackles, and Kendell Beckwith has 52 tackles. LSU has been on the short end of the score in their last several meetings with the Tide and they would love nothing more than win here.
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The Alabama Crimson Tide have one loss this season but if they can win out they can secure a spot in the College Football Playoffs. While this is Alabama’s last road game of the year they still have games with current number one Mississippi State and current number three Auburn remaining on the schedule. The Alabama offense has struggled at times but they are averaging 36.5 points and 508.9 yards per game and QB Blake Sims has completed 65.5 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and three interceptions. T.J. Yeldon leads the Bama ground attack with 618 yards and five touchdowns and Derrick Henry has 550 yards and four touchdowns. Amari Cooper has been one of the top receivers in the nation with 71 catches and nine of them going for touchdowns. The Crimson Tide defense is allowing just 14 points and 276.8 yards per game but they aren’t creating turnovers like they have in the past. Reggie Ragland has 56 tackles, Landon Collins has 54 tackles and two interceptions, and Trey Depriest has 41 tackles. Alabama hasn’t been as dominant as we have seen them in the past but giving Nick Saban two weeks to prepare has been a lot for opposing teams to overcome.
LSU is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games, 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, and 5-1 against the spread following a bye week. Alabama is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven SEC games, 2-6-1 against the spread following a win, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five road games. Alabama has covered the point spread in seven of their last 10 games at LSU and the road team is 13-5-1 against the spread in the last 19 meetings of these two.
Points are going to be tough to come by here making the under a strong play. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.