Michigan State vs. Ohio State - 11/8/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1) at Michigan State Spartans (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC, ESPN3
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans play Saturday night at Spartan Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes have won six straight games and remain undefeated on the road. Ohio State’s offense has really taken off with quarterback J.T. Barrett completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Barrett has scored 10 total touchdowns and has two picks in his last three games. Ohio State’s ground game is averaging more than five yards per carry and has produced 16 running plays of 20 or more yards. Barrett and Ezekiel Elliott have combined for more than 1,100 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Ohio State has won all five games this season when topping 250 rushing yards. Receiving wise, Michael Thomas and Devin Smith have produced more than 800 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Dontre Wilson has caught five of his 19 passes in his last two games. Defensively, the Ohio State Buckeyes are allowing 19.9 points, 300 yards, and they’ve forced 20 turnovers and 24 sacks. Joshua Perry leads OSU with 70 tackles and Joey Bosa has 14.5 tackles for loss.
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The Michigan State Spartans have also won six straight games and are undefeated at home. Michigan State relies heavily on a defense that’s allowing 20.3 points, 279.4 yards, and has forced 22 turnovers and 28 sacks. The Michigan State Spartans have allowed 24 or less points in 10 of their last 12 games. Kurtis Drummond leads Michigan State with 39 tackles and Ed Davis has 10 tackles for loss. Offensively, Connor Cook is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. Cook has thrown a pick in three of his last four games and has four touchdowns in his last two games. Michigan State has 19 passing plays of 25 or more yards, while Tony Lippett and Josiah Price have combined for 13 touchdown receptions. Michigan State’s ground game is averaging 5.3 yards per carry, as Jeremy Langford leads the way with 841 yards and 10 touchdowns. Michigan State has won 13 straight games when rushing for at least two scores.
The Buckeyes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State, while the road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
When it’s a battle between great offense and great defense, I tend to lean on the defensive team. Michigan State’s physical style of play should be able to keep Ohio State’s finesse style of play in check. However, I don’t exactly love the number, as there’s a great chance this game could come down to the wire. That’s why I’m waiting for the ML to come out and will pound MSU to win this matchup at home. The value is well worth it.