TCU vs. Kansas State - 11/8/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats (7-1) at TCU Horned Frogs (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas State Wildcats and TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday night at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
The Kansas State Wildcats have won five straight games and have their eyes set on a possible playoff berth. Offensively, Jake Waters stirs the drink for Kansas State, as he’s completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. Waters also has 404 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns. Waters has not thrown a pick in five straight games and Kansas State is 12-2 SU when he scores at least two touchdowns. Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton are Waters favorite targets, as they’ve combined for 98 receptions, close to 1,300 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Kansas State has 17 passing plays of 25 or more yards and is averaging 13.3 yards per catch. Charles Jones leads KSU with 431 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, as he’s scored in all but two games this season. Defensively, the Kansas State Wildcats are allowing 18.6 points, 321.1 yards, and they’ve forced 13 turnovers and 13 sacks. Jonathan Truman leads Kansas State with 73 tackles and Dakorey Johnson has 6.5 tackles for loss.
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The TCU Horned Frogs somehow survived against the West Virginia Mountaineers and also have their eyes on the playoffs. Trevone Boykin is carrying the Horned Frogs by completing 57 percent of his passes for 22 touchdowns and four interceptions, while rushing for 423 yards and four scores. Boykin has nine total touchdowns and one interception in his last two games. Boykin may have to do a little extra in this game with leading rusher B.J. Catalon questionable with a shoulder injury. If Catalon can’t go, Aaron Green will likely get the bulk of the carries, a junior who has scored in three of his last four games. Josh Doctson and Kolby Listenbee have combined for more than 1,100 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, as TCU has 25 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Defensively, the TCU Horned Frogs are allowing 22.6 points, 370 yards, and they’ve forced 26 turnovers and 24 sacks. Paul Dawson leads TCU with 91 tackles and Chris Hackett has four interceptions.
The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 32-13-1 ATS in their last 46 games overall. The Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
This is really an elimination game and could determine who wins the Big 12 and secures a playoff spot. Both teams have made us a lot of money against the number and have shown very little weaknesses. However, I have to take Kansas State and the points in this spot. The Wildcats don’t make foolish mistakes to beat themselves and find ways to hang around. I also don't know how much energy TCU has after making a big comback to beat WVU last week. Taking the points is the safer bet in this matchup.